Melville [Ward] (East Setauket, NY)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Patriots Colors: Green/Gold Coach: Chris Boltrek League: Section 11 Division I Playoff Division: I Playoff Division Rank: #6 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 4 Returning Defensive Starters: 3 2016 JV Record: 4-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Nick Messina 6'0" 175 Senior RB 4.4 Tom Kutchma 6'5" 315 Senior OL/DL 5.7 Jimmy Small 6'1" 200 Senior OL/DL 5.2 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Speed Team Weaknesses: Few Returners RATINGS 2016 Final Power Rating: 26.3 2016 National Rank: #2165 2016 State Rank: #47 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.5 2017 Starting Power Rating: 19.8 2017 National Rank: #3066 2017 State Rank: #70 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -10.2 Dynasty National Rank: #11205 2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 30 Dynasty Record: 52-67 (49-64 in league) HISTORICAL 2016 Overall Record: 6-5 2016 League Record/Finish: 4-4 (tied for 6th) 2016 Points For Average: 26.3 2016 Points Against Average: 20.1 2016 Differential: +6.2 2016 Wins: #1836 Lindenhurst (27-10), #3778 Connetquot (Bohemia) (35-7), #3778 Connetquot (Bohemia) (14-0), #5926 Northport (35-7), #6478 Sachem East (Farmingville) (48-21), #7099 Patchogue-Medford (Medford) (35-22) 2016 Losses: #1122 Floyd [William] (Mastic Beach) (28-21), #1122 Floyd [William] (Mastic Beach) (34-14), #1836 Lindenhurst (23-14), #3101 Longwood (Middle Island) (35-19), #5534 Commack (34-27) 2016 Opponents W-L: 67-38 Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none SCHEDULE 2017 Schedule: 9/1 Central Islip, 9/8 at Connetquot (Bohemia), 9/15 at Whitman [Walt] (Huntington Station), 9/23 Floyd [William] (Mastic Beach), 9/27 at Commack, 10/7 Sachem East (Farmingville), 10/20 Longwood (Middle Island), 10/27 at Lindenhurst Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Floyd [William] (Mastic Beach) (34.3), Lindenhurst (33), Longwood (Middle Island) (19.6) Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Central Islip (-22), Commack (-4.5), Whitman [Walt] (Huntington Station) (-2.9) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.8 (22.2 overall) 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.6 2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -8.2 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #84 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4350 2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3 2017 Projected League Finish: 3rd 2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%