Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: J.P. Presley
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: 1
Playoff Division Rank: #9

D1 PROSPECTS
Jojo Hawkins 5-9 160 Junior WR
Kyle Ford 6-2 200 Junior WR
Ethan Rae 6-5 240 Junior TE

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Brandon McKinney 6'2" 190 Senior S
Travis Yates 6'3" 260 Senior SDE
Austin Liles 6'4" 195 Senior WR
Xavier Steele 5'11" 175 Senior CB
Mason Hagey 6'3" 290 Senior OG

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 52.2
2016 National Rank: #211
2016 State Rank: #28
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +8.8
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -5.7
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6
2017 Starting Power Rating: 64
2017 National Rank: #82
2017 State Rank: #13
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 49.1
Dynasty National Rank: #61
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 14.9
Dynasty Record: 113-50 (39-30 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 5-6
2016 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 3rd)
2016 Points For Average: 24.5
2016 Points Against Average: 31.3
2016 Differential: -6.8
2016 Wins: #251 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (30-29), #487 Servite (Anaheim) (49-42), #499 Norco (35-21), #891 Mullen [J. K.] (Denver, CO) (49-33), #1951 Crespi (Encino) (23-3)
2016 Losses: #2 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (47-28), #3 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (56-14), #8 Centennial (Corona) (42-14), #30 Rancho Cucamonga (27-7), #101 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (23-7), #162 La Mirada (21-14)
2016 Opponents W-L: 94-43
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006 (Pac-5 (I)), 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 at La Mirada, 9/1 at Cathedral (San Diego), 9/8 at Vista Murrieta (Murrieta), 9/15 vs Norco, 9/22 vs Heritage (Romoland), 10/6 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/13 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 10/20 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/27 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 11/3 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (120.1), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (113.5), JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (67.2)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: La Mirada (39.7), Servite (Anaheim) (40.7), Heritage (Romoland) (51.8)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 55.6 (60.1 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 65.5
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.9
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2017 Projected League Finish: 4th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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