Lower Dauphin (Hummelstown, PA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Greg Kratzer
League: Mid-Penn - Keystone
Playoff Division: AAAAA
Playoff Division Rank: #15

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2016 JV Record: 0-8
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Brendan Shaffer 6'0" 190 Senior RB/LB 4.5
Clay Spencer 5'7" 160 Senior WR/DB 4.7
Will Bowen 6'6" 250 Senior DE/TE 5.0

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 19.1
2016 National Rank: #3302
2016 State Rank: #141
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +7.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2017 Starting Power Rating: 26.6
2017 National Rank: #2051
2017 State Rank: #85
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 22.3
Dynasty National Rank: #1954
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 4.3
Dynasty Record: 93-62 (52-32 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 5-5
2016 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (tied for 4th)
2016 Points For Average: 18.2
2016 Points Against Average: 19.2
2016 Differential: -1
2016 Wins: #467 Cumberland Valley (Mechanicsburg) (15-10), #3309 Red Land (Lewisberry) (13-7), #3949 Cedar Crest (Lebanon) (10-7), #9252 Hershey (28-0), #11084 Mechanicsburg (55-0)
2016 Losses: #526 Middletown (27-7), #1160 Central Dauphin East (Harrisburg) (38-14), #1756 Cedar Cliff (Camp Hill) (35-12), #1951 Bishop McDevitt (Harrisburg) (42-21), #2954 Susquehanna Township (Harrisburg) (26-7)
2016 Opponents W-L: 64-49
Recent League Championships: 2013 (tied for 1st), 2005 (Mid-Penn Keystone), 2003 (tied for 1st; Mid-Penn Capital)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: 1
Streak List: 11/4/16 Hershey (28-0)

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 9/1 at Middletown, 9/8 Central Dauphin East (Harrisburg), 9/15 at Cedar Crest (Lebanon), 9/22 Cedar Cliff (Camp Hill), 9/29 Red Land (Lewisberry), 10/6 at Mechanicsburg, 10/13 at Susquehanna Township (Harrisburg), 10/20 at Cumberland Valley (Mechanicsburg), 10/27 Bishop McDevitt (Harrisburg), 11/3 Hershey
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Cumberland Valley (Mechanicsburg) (45.6), Middletown (38.4), Central Dauphin East (Harrisburg) (30.8)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Mechanicsburg (-13.9), Hershey (0.6), Red Land (Lewisberry) (10.4)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.3
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -3.7
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #56
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1890
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%