Long Reach (Columbia, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lightning
Coach: Jamie Willis
League: Howard County
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2016 JV Record: 2-8
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Reggie Dillion 6'4" 305 Senior OL
Spencer Willis 6'2" 230 Senior OL
Chad Brown 6'2" 170 Senior FS

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Greg Benton 6'1" 210 Senior S

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Returning 9 Defensive Starters, Entire OL Returns
Team Weaknesses: Must Replace Graduated Stars At QB/MLB

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 13.3
2016 National Rank: #4395
2016 State Rank: #67
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.4
2017 Starting Power Rating: 16.4
2017 National Rank: #3725
2017 State Rank: #57
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 9.5
Dynasty National Rank: #5102
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6.9
Dynasty Record: 76-67 (74-64 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 8-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 8-2 (tied for 2nd)
2016 Points For Average: 23.9
2016 Points Against Average: 12.7
2016 Differential: +11.2
2016 Wins: #2096 Glenelg (35-7), #4440 River Hill (Clarksville) (20-10), #5367 Atholton (Columbia) (25-20), #6004 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (37-20), #6387 Oakland Mills (Columbia) (14-7), #9891 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (33-0), #10011 Centennial (Ellicott City) (26-8), #11534 Hammond (Columbia) (39-14)
2016 Losses: #1257 Howard (Ellicott City) (14-7), #4440 River Hill (Clarksville) (20-14), #6051 Reservoir (Fulton) (20-13)
2016 Opponents W-L: 57-63
Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 9/2 Oakland Mills (Columbia), 9/8 at Hammond (Columbia), 9/15 Wilde Lake (Columbia), 9/22 at Centennial (Ellicott City), 9/28 at River Hill (Clarksville), 10/7 Howard (Ellicott City), 10/13 at Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville), 10/20 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City), 10/27 Reservoir (Fulton), 11/3 at Atholton (Columbia)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Howard (Ellicott City) (38), River Hill (Clarksville) (16.4), Oakland Mills (Columbia) (13.6)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Centennial (Ellicott City) (-19.6), Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (-16.3), Hammond (Columbia) (-10.5)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 4 (8.9 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 4.3
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.3
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #99
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6077
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2017 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%