Kinkaid (Houston, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Purple/Gold
Coach: Nathan Larned
League: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division: Southwest Prep 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2016 JV Record: 10-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Johnathon Thomas 5'8" 155 Senior RB/DB 4.5
Josh Williams 5'10" 180 Junior RB/DB 4.6
Ameer Mustafa 6'2" 290 Junior OL/DL 5.2

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Depth
Team Weaknesses: QB/CB/Lines Need To Be Replaced

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 29.1
2016 National Rank: #1776
2016 State Rank: #220
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
2017 Starting Power Rating: 25.6
2017 National Rank: #2192
2017 State Rank: #273
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 27.5
Dynasty National Rank: #1158
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.9
Dynasty Record: 97-43 (48-26 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 7-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (3rd)
2016 Points For Average: 33.9
2016 Points Against Average: 26.5
2016 Differential: +7.4
2016 Wins: #2874 Concordia Lutheran (Tomball) (26-14), #3186 Episcopal (Dallas) (35-15), #3759 Loomis Chaffee (Windsor, CT) (56-55), #3883 Houston Christian (Houston) (28-20), #3908 St. John's (Houston) (42-9), #7506 St. Mark's (Dallas) (41-14), #7527 Westbury Christian (Houston) (42-0)
2016 Losses: #413 All Saints (Fort Worth) (42-21), #526 Episcopal (Bellaire) (69-28), #2169 St. Thomas Catholic (Houston) (27-20)
2016 Opponents W-L: 50-51
Recent State Championships: 2015 (Southwest Prep Large), 2013 (Southwest Prep Large), 2010 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwestern Prep I)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (Southwest Prep - South), 2012 (tied for 1st; Southwest Prep - South), 2011 (Southwest Prep I), 2003 (Southwest Preparatory I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: 4
Streak List: 10/7/16 Concordia Lutheran (Tomball) (26-14), 10/14/16 Episcopal (Dallas) (35-15), 10/21/16 Houston Christian (Houston) (28-20), 10/28/16 St. John's (Houston) (42-9)

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 9/8 at Westbury Christian (Houston), 9/15 at Loomis Chaffee (Windsor, CT), 9/22 Shadow Creek (Pearland), 9/28 at St. Mark's (Dallas), 10/6 Episcopal (Bellaire), 10/13 Concordia Lutheran (Tomball), 10/20 Episcopal (Dallas), 10/27 at Houston Christian (Houston), 11/3 vs St. John's (Houston)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Episcopal (Bellaire) (47.3), St. John's (Houston) (26.5), Episcopal (Dallas) (24.8)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: St. Mark's (Dallas) (5.2), Loomis Chaffee (Windsor, CT) (5.7), Houston Christian (Houston) (6.3)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.4
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 17.2
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.2
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #364
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2319
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-2
2017 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%