Kettle Run (Nokesville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Cougars
Coach: Charlie Porterfield
League: Northwestern (moving from Evergreen)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #42

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2016 JV Record: 8-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Casen Chumley 6'0" 190 Senior QB
Max DelSignore 6'0.5" 205 Senior TE/FB
Andrew Pickett 6'1.5" 210 Senior DE/TE

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experienced Record-Setting QB, Senior Leadership At Key Positions
Team Weaknesses: Youth, Small Senior Class

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: -4
2016 National Rank: #8459
2016 State Rank: #202
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
2017 Starting Power Rating: -4.5
2017 National Rank: #8455
2017 State Rank: #201
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 10.2
Dynasty National Rank: #4877
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 14.7
Dynasty Record: 50-51 (19-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 3-7
2016 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2016 Points For Average: 15.9
2016 Points Against Average: 27.5
2016 Differential: -11.6
2016 Wins: #4676 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (13-6), #6961 Fauquier (Warrenton) (28-14), #9686 Culpeper County (Culpeper) (22-7)
2016 Losses: #1645 Eastern View (Culpeper) (35-7), #2152 Millbrook (Winchester) (42-17), #3596 Albemarle (Charlottesville) (39-23), #4851 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (56-27), #6478 Liberty (Bealeton) (40-15), #6528 Petersburg (15-0), #10895 Manassas Park (21-7)
2016 Opponents W-L: 65-49
Recent League Championships: 2014 (3A Conference 27), 2013 (3A Conference 27), 2011 (AA Evergreen)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 Manassas Park, 9/1 Warren County (Front Royal), 9/8 at Brentsville District (Nokesville), 9/15 at Culpeper County (Culpeper), 9/22 Handley [John] (Winchester), 9/29 Millbrook (Winchester), 10/6 at Fauquier (Warrenton), 10/13 at Sherando (Stephens City), 10/20 Liberty (Bealeton), 11/3 Wood [James] (Winchester)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Millbrook (Winchester) (20.7), Sherando (Stephens City) (17.4), Liberty (Bealeton) (5.3)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Warren County (Front Royal) (-21), Wood [James] (Winchester) (-20.4), Culpeper County (Culpeper) (-10.4)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.9
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -11.9
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #209
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8043
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2017 Projected League Finish: 7th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%