Fossil Ridge (Keller, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Tony Baccarini
League: 6A Region I District 3
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #123

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Anthony Smith 5'11" 195 Senior RB
Tyler Mitchell 6'2" 200 Senior OLB

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 33.2
2016 National Rank: #1309
2016 State Rank: #167
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.2
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -8.4
2017 Starting Power Rating: 23.6
2017 National Rank: #2487
2017 State Rank: #317
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 28.9
Dynasty National Rank: #1003
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.3
Dynasty Record: 81-70 (54-41 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 7-4
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (3rd)
2016 Points For Average: 30.1
2016 Points Against Average: 28.8
2016 Differential: +1.3
2016 Wins: #1237 Lamar (Arlington) (41-31), #1408 Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (49-44), #1632 Flower Mound (23-16), #3466 Haltom (Haltom City) (49-20), #4567 Weatherford (21-14), #4721 Keller (31-3), #7716 Saginaw (40-12)
2016 Losses: #129 Abilene (45-16), #268 Mansfield (55-10), #904 Rowlett (28-23), #1364 Keller Central (Keller) (49-28)
2016 Opponents W-L: 60-60
Recent League Championships: 2007 (4A Region I District 6), 2006 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 9/1 at Lamar (Arlington), 9/7 Flower Mound, 9/15 at Saginaw, 9/21 at Rowlett, 9/29 at Timber Creek (Fort Worth), 10/6 Abilene, 10/12 Haltom (Haltom City), 10/27 Keller Central (Keller), 11/3 at Weatherford, 11/10 at Keller
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Abilene (46), Rowlett (39.4), Flower Mound (36.4)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Saginaw (-3.2), Keller (3.2), Weatherford (6.6)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.6 (32.7 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.7
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.9
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #262
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1478
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2017 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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