Fivay (Hudson, FL)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Falcons Coach: Matt Durchik League: 5A District 8 Playoff Division: 5A Playoff Division Rank: #78 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 4 2016 JV Record: 2-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Lucas Montano 5'11" 185 Senior LB/RB 4.7 Connor Davis 5'9" 175 Senior QB/DB 4.6 Tyler Austin 6'1" 310 Senior OL STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Nearly All Linemen Return, QB Speed Team Weaknesses: Must Replace Top Performers At RB/WR/DB/LB RATINGS 2016 Final Power Rating: -16.8 2016 National Rank: #11032 2016 State Rank: #479 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -6.5 2017 Starting Power Rating: -19.3 2017 National Rank: #11362 2017 State Rank: #487 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): -3.7 Dynasty National Rank: #9356 2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 15.6 Dynasty Record: 27-39 (16-20 in league) HISTORICAL 2016 Overall Record: 2-8 2016 League Record/Finish: 2-5 (tied for 5th) 2016 Points For Average: 11.3 2016 Points Against Average: 32.2 2016 Differential: -20.9 2016 Wins: #9374 Ridgewood (New Port Richey) (34-32), #12827 Gulf (New Port Richey) (23-7) 2016 Losses: #2728 River Ridge (New Port Richey) (31-10), #3970 Zephyrhills (42-6), #5059 Wesley Chapel (45-6), #6716 Hudson (54-7), #7628 Central (Brooksville) (21-7), #7798 Hernando (Brooksville) (27-6), #8693 Land O' Lakes (24-14), #9307 Anclote (Holiday) (39-0) 2016 Opponents W-L: 48-50 Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none SCHEDULE 2017 Schedule: 8/25 vs Hernando (Brooksville), 9/8 vs Weeki Wachee, 9/15 vs Wesley Chapel, 9/22 vs Zephyrhills, 9/29 vs River Ridge (New Port Richey), 10/6 vs Hudson, 10/13 vs Gulf (New Port Richey), 10/20 vs Ridgewood (New Port Richey), 10/27 vs Anclote (Holiday), 11/3 vs Land O' Lakes Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Zephyrhills (22.7), Wesley Chapel (17.5), River Ridge (New Port Richey) (16.5) Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Weeki Wachee (-34.4), Gulf (New Port Richey) (-27.1), Ridgewood (New Port Richey) (-19.6) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.6 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.4 2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #443 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8542 2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7 2017 Projected League Finish: 6th 2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%