Fern Creek (Louisville, KY) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Tigers Colors: Burnt Orange/Black Coach: Joshua Abell League: 5A District 4 Playoff Division: 5A Playoff Division Rank: #4 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 6 Returning Defensive Starters: 8 2016 JV Record: 6-3 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Damon Durrah 5'11" 175 Senior DB/WR 4.58 Devon Blincoe 5'11" 210 Senior RB/LB Quran Rahman 6'0" 305 Senior DL STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Very Athletic, Improved Strength Team Weaknesses: TE/QB/MLB Inexperience RATINGS 2016 Final Power Rating: 31 2016 National Rank: #1553 2016 State Rank: #16 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -6.4 2017 Starting Power Rating: 29.5 2017 National Rank: #1687 2017 State Rank: #20 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 17.7 Dynasty National Rank: #2877 2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 11.8 Dynasty Record: 87-73 (31-28 in league) HISTORICAL 2016 Overall Record: 11-3 2016 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st) 2016 Points For Average: 34.2 2016 Points Against Average: 15.1 2016 Differential: +19.1 2016 Wins: #1248 Covington Catholic (Park Hills) (35-28), #3521 Butler (Louisville) (27-7), #4377 Dixie Heights (Edgewood) (39-6), #4581 Doss (Louisville) (41-20), #7472 Moore (Louisville) (55-10), #8726 Southern (Louisville) (41-34), #9645 Fairdale (47-0), #10694 Seneca (Louisville) (33-0), #11298 Grant County (Dry Ridge) (51-7), #11772 Atherton (Louisville) (47-12), #12664 Iroquois (Louisville) (42-12) 2016 Losses: #180 Bowling Green (34-7), #766 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (14-0), #2043 DeSales (Louisville) (27-14) 2016 Opponents W-L: 81-82 Recent League Championships: 2016, 2015, 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A District 5) Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none SCHEDULE 2017 Schedule: 8/18 Seneca (Louisville), 8/25 DuPont Manual (Louisville), 8/31 at Central (Louisville), 9/8 at Butler (Louisville), 9/15 at DeSales (Louisville), 9/22 Atherton (Louisville), 9/29 at Iroquois (Louisville), 10/5 Doss (Louisville), 10/13 at Southern (Louisville), 10/20 Fairdale Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Central (Louisville) (31), DuPont Manual (Louisville) (30.5), Doss (Louisville) (28) Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Atherton (Louisville) (-28.1), Iroquois (Louisville) (-22.1), Seneca (Louisville) (-17.9) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.4 (12.5 overall) 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.1 2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.5 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #67 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5802 2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2 2017 Projected League Finish: 1st 2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 5% |