Fern Creek (Louisville, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Burnt Orange/Black
Coach: Joshua Abell
League: 5A District 4
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2016 JV Record: 6-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Damon Durrah 5'11" 175 Senior DB/WR 4.58
Devon Blincoe 5'11" 210 Senior RB/LB
Quran Rahman 6'0" 305 Senior DL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Very Athletic, Improved Strength
Team Weaknesses: TE/QB/MLB Inexperience

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 31
2016 National Rank: #1553
2016 State Rank: #16
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -6.4
2017 Starting Power Rating: 29.5
2017 National Rank: #1687
2017 State Rank: #20
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 17.7
Dynasty National Rank: #2877
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 11.8
Dynasty Record: 87-73 (31-28 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 11-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2016 Points For Average: 34.2
2016 Points Against Average: 15.1
2016 Differential: +19.1
2016 Wins: #1248 Covington Catholic (Park Hills) (35-28), #3521 Butler (Louisville) (27-7), #4377 Dixie Heights (Edgewood) (39-6), #4581 Doss (Louisville) (41-20), #7472 Moore (Louisville) (55-10), #8726 Southern (Louisville) (41-34), #9645 Fairdale (47-0), #10694 Seneca (Louisville) (33-0), #11298 Grant County (Dry Ridge) (51-7), #11772 Atherton (Louisville) (47-12), #12664 Iroquois (Louisville) (42-12)
2016 Losses: #180 Bowling Green (34-7), #766 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (14-0), #2043 DeSales (Louisville) (27-14)
2016 Opponents W-L: 81-82
Recent League Championships: 2016, 2015, 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A District 5)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/18 Seneca (Louisville), 8/25 DuPont Manual (Louisville), 8/31 at Central (Louisville), 9/8 at Butler (Louisville), 9/15 at DeSales (Louisville), 9/22 Atherton (Louisville), 9/29 at Iroquois (Louisville), 10/5 Doss (Louisville), 10/13 at Southern (Louisville), 10/20 Fairdale
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Central (Louisville) (31), DuPont Manual (Louisville) (30.5), Doss (Louisville) (28)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Atherton (Louisville) (-28.1), Iroquois (Louisville) (-22.1), Seneca (Louisville) (-17.9)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.4 (12.5 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.1
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.5
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #67
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5802
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 5%