Colonial Forge (Stafford, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Eagles
Colors: Green/Navy/Silver
Coach: Bill Brown
League: Commonwealth
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #3

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2016 JV Record: 9-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Josh Sarratt 5'11" 180 DB/SB
Mitchell Shinskie 6'4" 245 DL
Ethan Garwood 6'0" 205 QB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Skill Position Players
Team Weaknesses: OL Inexperience

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 35.4
2016 National Rank: #1118
2016 State Rank: #21
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.1
2017 Starting Power Rating: 40.9
2017 National Rank: #686
2017 State Rank: #13
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 28.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1021
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12.2
Dynasty Record: 113-48 (65-20 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 11-3
2016 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (tied for 2nd)
2016 Points For Average: 34.9
2016 Points Against Average: 15.6
2016 Differential: +19.3
2016 Wins: #1569 Manchester (Midlothian) (27-19), #1725 Dale [Thomas] (Chester) (42-21), #2628 Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (41-14), #3574 North Stafford (Stafford) (40-14), #4440 Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge) (23-0), #4440 Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge) (28-27), #6181 Mountain View (Stafford) (31-7), #6456 Forest Park (Woodbridge) (52-14), #7506 Stafford (Falmouth) (44-7), #7865 Woodbridge (40-0), #10365 Gar-Field (Woodbridge) (47-0)
2016 Losses: #602 Smith [Oscar] (Chesapeake) (27-20), #1836 Brooke Point (Stafford) (41-36), #3101 Freedom (Woodbridge) (27-17)
2016 Opponents W-L: 94-67
Recent League Championships: 2015 (6A Conference 4), 2012 (tied for 1st; AAA Commonwealth), 2010 (AAA Commonwealth), 2009 (AAA Commonwealth), 2006 (Commonwealth AAA)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 Patriot (Nokesville), 9/1 Albemarle (Charlottesville), 9/8 at Grassfield (Chesapeake), 9/15 at Hylton [C. D.] (Woodbridge), 9/22 Riverbend (Fredericksburg), 9/29 at Brooke Point (Stafford), 10/6 at Massaponax (Spotsylvania), 10/13 Stafford (Falmouth), 10/27 at Mountain View (Stafford), 11/3 North Stafford (Stafford)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: North Stafford (Stafford) (29.4), Riverbend (Fredericksburg) (28.4), Massaponax (Spotsylvania) (27.2)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Mountain View (Stafford) (-0.4), Stafford (Falmouth) (0.9), Patriot (Nokesville) (11.1)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6 (20.6 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.8
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: +10.8
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #42
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2406
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 10-0
2017 Projected League Finish: 1st
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 61%