Chugiak (Eagle River, AK)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Columbia/Black/White
Coach: Roger Spackman
League: Northern Railbelt
Playoff Division: I
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2016 JV Record: 6-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Derryk Snell 6'2" 220 Senior RB/LB 4.78
Hunter Harr 6'1" 185 Senior QB 4.72
Peter Gianullis 6'3" 225 Senior DE 4.8

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Balanced Offense, Experience
Team Weaknesses: Kicking Game, Size

RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 3.8
2016 National Rank: #6502
2016 State Rank: #8
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
2017 Starting Power Rating: 7.3
2017 National Rank: #5626
2017 State Rank: #8
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 18.6
Dynasty National Rank: #2683
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 11.3
Dynasty Record: 62-63 [65-60 on the field] (48-43 in league)

HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 5-4
2016 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (tied for 1st)
2016 Points For Average: 32.7
2016 Points Against Average: 20.7
2016 Differential: +12
2016 Wins: #3795 Colony (Palmer) (30-7), #8344 West Valley (Fairbanks) (33-8), #10087 South (Anchorage) (23-12), #10230 Wasilla (48-12), #10488 Kenai Central (Kenai) (48-3)
2016 Losses: #3116 West (Anchorage) (34-23), #5746 Service (Anchorage) (54-42), #5877 Lathrop (Fairbanks) (35-33), #6650 Dimond [A. J.] (Anchorage) (21-14)
2016 Opponents W-L: 36-44
Recent League Championships: 2016 (tied for 1st), 2015 (tied for 1st; Cook Inlet), 2007 (Cook Inlet), 2003 (tied for 1st; Cook Inlet)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/11 at East (Anchorage), 8/18 South (Anchorage), 8/25 at West Valley (Fairbanks), 9/2 Lathrop (Fairbanks), 9/8 at Green Canyon (North Logan, UT), 9/15 Kenai Central (Kenai), 9/22 at Wasilla, 9/29 Colony (Palmer)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Colony (Palmer) (18.7), Lathrop (Fairbanks) (13.3), East (Anchorage) (11.7)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Wasilla (-16.8), South (Anchorage) (-14.3), Kenai Central (Kenai) (-12.1)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 0.2 (3.8 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -0.7
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.9
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #10
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7664
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2017 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%