GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Charlie Pierce
League: Potomac
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #23
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Ben Maffe 6'2.5" 225 Senior TE
RATINGS
2016 Final Power Rating: 18.2
2016 National Rank: #3451
2016 State Rank: #69
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.6
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -2.7
2017 Starting Power Rating: 15.1
2017 National Rank: #3990
2017 State Rank: #92
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 31.8
Dynasty National Rank: #699
2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 16.7
Dynasty Record: 95-41 (42-16 in league)
HISTORICAL
2016 Overall Record: 4-7
2016 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (tied for 4th)
2016 Points For Average: 28.1
2016 Points Against Average: 27
2016 Differential: +1.1
2016 Wins: #329 Westfield (Chantilly) (35-34), #4581 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (21-0), #6102 Chantilly (42-3), #9446 Lee [Robert E.] (Springfield) (49-20)
2016 Losses: #453 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (41-20), #993 South Lakes (Reston) (28-21), #1501 South County (Lorton) (27-23), #1519 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (17-14), #1699 Broad Run (Ashburn) (36-21), #1851 West Potomac (Alexandria) (38-35), #2593 Henry [Patrick] (Ashland) (53-28)
2016 Opponents W-L: 95-41
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (5A Conference 14), 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2017 Schedule: 8/25 West Potomac (Alexandria), 8/31 at North Stafford (Stafford), 9/8 Brooke Point (Stafford), 9/22 at Tuscarora (Leesburg), 9/28 Freedom (South Riding), 10/6 Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 10/13 at Champe [John] (Aldie), 10/20 Potomac Falls (Sterling), 10/27 at Broad Run (Ashburn), 11/3 at Rock Ridge (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (43.8), Potomac Falls (Sterling) (36), Broad Run (Ashburn) (33.5)
Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Rock Ridge (Ashburn) (-12.5), Freedom (South Riding) (2.2), Brooke Point (Stafford) (16.7)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 22.8 (27.5 overall)
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.2
2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.6
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #12
2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1564
2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2017 Projected League Finish: 6th
2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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