Avon Old Farms (Avon, CT)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Beavers Colors: Red/Blue Coach: Bill Mella League: Erickson State (Plays In): Prep Schools Playoff Division: NEPSAC A Playoff Division Rank: #7 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 6 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Jesse Walsh 6'3" 235 Senior LB Taisun Phommachanh 6'4" 210 Junior QB Jamel Smith 5'10" 180 Junior CB/RB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Chemistry Team Weaknesses: OL RATINGS 2016 Final Power Rating: 19.7 2016 National Rank: #3204 2016 State Rank: #34 (in CT) Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.5 2017 Starting Power Rating: 19.2 2017 National Rank: #3159 2017 State Rank: #36 (in CT) Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2016 Rating): 10.7 Dynasty National Rank: #4751 2017 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 8.5 Dynasty Record: 64-53-1 (47-36-1 in league) HISTORICAL 2016 Overall Record: 6-2 2016 League Record/Finish: 5-2 (tied for 2nd) 2016 Points For Average: 28.3 2016 Points Against Average: 21.9 2016 Differential: +6.4 2016 Wins: #4144 Salisbury School (Salisbury) (23-21), #4327 Kent School (Kent) (35-13), #6387 Taft (Watertown) (50-26), #6627 Hotchkiss (Lakeville) (20-12), #8317 Williston Northampton (Easthampton, MA) (29-19), #9351 Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH) (41-14) 2016 Losses: #2025 Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY) (21-14), #2431 Brunswick (Greenwich) (49-14) 2016 Opponents W-L: 29-38 Recent League Championships: 2014 (tied for 1st; Housatonic), 2013 (tied for 1st; Housatonic) Winning Streak Entering 2017 Season: 2 Streak List: 11/5/16 Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH) (41-14), 11/12/16 Salisbury School (Salisbury) (23-21) SCHEDULE 2017 Schedule: 9/23 Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY), 9/30 at Kent School (Kent), 10/7 Williston Northampton (Easthampton, MA), 10/14 at Hotchkiss (Lakeville), 10/21 Taft (Watertown), 10/28 vs Brunswick (Greenwich), 11/4 Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH), 11/11 at Salisbury School (Salisbury) Highest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Brunswick (Greenwich) (34.8), Salisbury School (Salisbury) (22), Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY) (20) Lowest-Rated 2017 Regular Season Opponents: Williston Northampton (Easthampton, MA) (-10.8), Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH) (-10.5), Taft (Watertown) (1.6) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.3 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.2 2017 vs. 2016 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.1 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #45 2017 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4459 2017 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3 2017 Projected League Finish: 4th 2017 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%