Xavier (Middletown, CT)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Black/White
Coach: Sean Marinan
League: Southern Connecticut - Tier 1 (moving from Southern Connecticut - I West)
Playoff Division: LL
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 4-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Will Levis 6'2" 180 Junior QB
Luke Schoonmaker 6'5" 230 Senior QB/TE
Glenn Cunningham 6'2" 215 Senior RB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Intelligence, Work-Ethic, 4 Of 5 OL Return
Team Weaknesses: Lack Defensive Game Experience

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 23.3
2015 National Rank: #2871
2015 State Rank: #22
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 25.7
2016 National Rank: #2352
2016 State Rank: #17
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 32
Dynasty National Rank: #660
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.2
Dynasty Record: 111-35-1 (40-13 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 6-4
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (2nd)
2015 Points For Average: 22.4
2015 Points Against Average: 17.8
2015 Differential: +4.6
2015 Wins: #3123 Hand [Daniel] (Madison) (13-7), #3891 Fairfield College Prep (Fairfield) (13-0), #5533 Norwich Free Academy (Norwich) (18-6), #6105 Cheshire (42-9), #7776 Amity Regional (Woodbridge) (41-6), #8969 Hamden (28-7)
2015 Losses: #682 Shelton (42-7), #1227 Notre Dame (West Haven) (32-7), #1781 St. John's (Shrewsbury, MA) (34-28), #2276 West Haven (35-27)
2015 Opponents W-L: 61-46
Recent State Championships: 2014 (LL-Small), 2012, 2011, 2010, 2005
Recent League Championships: 2012 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2011 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2010 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2009 (Southern Connecticut Division I - West), 2005 (SCC Division I West), 2004 (SCC Division I West)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 3
Streak List: 10/30/15 Hand [Daniel] (Madison) (13-7), 11/6/15 Cheshire (42-9), 11/13/15 Fairfield College Prep (Fairfield) (13-0)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 9/9 Norwich Free Academy (Norwich), 9/16 West Haven, 9/24 St. John's (Shrewsbury, MA), 9/30 at Shelton, 10/7 at Cheshire, 10/21 Hand [Daniel] (Madison), 10/28 Fairfield College Prep (Fairfield), 11/4 at North Haven, 11/11 at Notre Dame (West Haven), 11/17 at Cross [Wilbur] (New Haven)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Shelton (32.9), West Haven (31.4), Notre Dame (West Haven) (29.5)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Cross [Wilbur] (New Haven) (3), Cheshire (9.1), Hand [Daniel] (Madison) (10.8)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.9
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 20.3
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1925
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2016 Projected League Finish: 5th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%