Winters Mill (Westminster, MD)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Coach: Matthew Miller
League: Monocacy Valley - Chesapeake
Playoff Division: 2A
Playoff Division Rank: #47

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2015 JV Record: 4-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jason Utz 5'9" 150 Senior RB/OLB 4.75
Nate Forte 5'9" 200 Senior LB/FB 4.9
Dimeon Wright 6'0" 165 Senior WR/DB 4.65

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Considerable RB Depth, OL, Return All LBs
Team Weaknesses: Unproven At QB

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -24.1
2015 National Rank: #12517
2015 State Rank: #201
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -6.4
2016 Starting Power Rating: -23.6
2016 National Rank: #12402
2016 State Rank: #201
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -2.3
Dynasty National Rank: #8982
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 21.3
Dynasty Record: 49-82 (31-49 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 1-9
2015 League Record/Finish: 0-6 (8th)
2015 Points For Average: 10.6
2015 Points Against Average: 28.7
2015 Differential: -18.1
2015 Wins: #13193 Patterson Mill (Bel Air) (21-9)
2015 Losses: #2721 South Carroll (Sykesville) (41-0), #5655 Liberty (Sykesville) (35-0), #6949 Poolesville (24-13), #7760 North Harford (Pylesville) (32-29), #7859 Manchester Valley (Manchester) (21-0), #8208 Century (Sykesville) (28-10), #10410 Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (56-27), #10477 North Carroll (Hampstead) (13-3), #10729 Bohemia Manor (Chesapeake City) (28-3)
2015 Opponents W-L: 50-56
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Patterson Mill (Bel Air) (25-7)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 9/2 at Patterson Mill (Bel Air), 9/9 Bohemia Manor (Chesapeake City), 9/16 Poolesville, 9/23 at North Harford (Pylesville), 9/30 Liberty (Sykesville), 10/7 at South Carroll (Sykesville), 10/14 Manchester Valley (Manchester), 10/21 at Century (Sykesville), 10/28 at Boonsboro, 11/4 Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Boonsboro (28.2), South Carroll (Sykesville) (18.8), Liberty (Sykesville) (6.7)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Patterson Mill (Bel Air) (-26.7), Key [Francis Scott] (Union Bridge) (-22), Bohemia Manor (Chesapeake City) (-16.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.2
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.6
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #163
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8699
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2016 Projected League Finish: 10th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%