Timberline (Lacey, WA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Blazers
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: Mike Spears
League: 3A South Sound (moving from 4A Narrows)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #25

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2015 JV Record: 5-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Michael Barnes 5'11" 175 Junior WR/DB 4.38
Camren Bowes 6'2" 300 Senior C
Alizen Wilson 6'5" 390 Senior DL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Lines, Entire OL Is Back, Majority Of Offense Is Returning
Team Weaknesses: Young At LB

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 17.4
2015 National Rank: #3968
2015 State Rank: #84
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 17.9
2016 National Rank: #3681
2016 State Rank: #82
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 23.5
Dynasty National Rank: #1723
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.6
Dynasty Record: 96-45 (70-14 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 4-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-3 (4th)
2015 Points For Average: 23.9
2015 Points Against Average: 32.3
2015 Differential: -8.4
2015 Wins: #3636 Peninsula (Gig Harbor) (34-30), #5000 Yelm (35-21), #5975 Stadium (Tacoma) (38-14), #7344 South Kitsap (Port Orchard) (38-13)
2015 Losses: #431 Tumwater (48-10), #438 Gig Harbor (51-0), #1339 Bellarmine Prep (Tacoma) (35-6), #1421 Olympia (49-25), #3461 Puyallup (24-21), #6507 North Thurston (Lacey) (38-32)
2015 Opponents W-L: 62-44
Recent League Championships: 2013 (tied for 1st; 3A Narrows), 2012 (3A Narrows), 2009 (3A Olympic/Western Cascade), 2006 (3A Western Cascade), 2005 (PAC 9), 2004 (PAC 9), 2003 (Pac 9 3A)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 3
Streak List: 10/30/15 South Kitsap (Port Orchard) (38-13), 11/5/15 Peninsula (Gig Harbor) (34-30), 9/2/16 Black Hills (Tumwater) (43-14)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 9/2 vs Black Hills (Tumwater), 9/9 Bonney Lake, 9/16 vs Capital (Olympia), 9/23 Shelton, 9/23 at Central Kitsap (Silverdale), 9/30 vs Shelton, 10/7 vs Yelm, 10/14 vs Gig Harbor, 10/21 vs North Thurston (Lacey), 10/28 at Peninsula (Gig Harbor)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Gig Harbor (36.7), Bonney Lake (29), Black Hills (Tumwater) (28)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Central Kitsap (Silverdale) (-1.8), North Thurston (Lacey) (-1.7), Capital (Olympia) (4)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.3 (23.1 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.7
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -9.6
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #73
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3333
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2016 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%