St. Vincent (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Blue/White/Red
Coach: Gary Galloway
League: North Central I (moving from Bay Football)
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 5
Playoff Division Rank: #17

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 1-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Michael Davis 5'11" 165 Senior RB/DB 4.7
Nick Murphy 6'3" 210 Senior TE/LB 4.8

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -31.1
2015 National Rank: #13281
2015 State Rank: #940
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: -32.6
2016 National Rank: #13302
2016 State Rank: #959
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -7.1
Dynasty National Rank: #10405
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 25.5
Dynasty Record: 87-58 (43-18 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-7
2015 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 19.4
2015 Points Against Average: 41.6
2015 Differential: -22.2
2015 Wins: #13833 California School for the Deaf (Fremont) (33-10), #13962 San Rafael (48-20), #13974 Emery (Emeryville) (26-8)
2015 Losses: #6192 St. Helena (55-6), #6764 Valley Christian (Dublin) (57-0), #6969 Stellar Prep (Oakland) (47-22), #9682 Cloverdale (54-12), #11432 Harker (San Jose) (55-8), #11700 Willits (56-18), #12594 Balboa (San Francisco) (54-21)
2015 Opponents W-L: 59-49
Recent Section Championships: 2008 (V), 2005 (B)
Recent League Championships: 2014 (North Central II), 2013 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2012 (tied for 1st; North Central II/Bay Football), 2005 (North Central I South)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 2
Streak List: 11/7/15 Emery (Emeryville) (26-8), 8/27/16 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (43-18)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/27 Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa), 9/9 at Cloverdale, 9/16 at Clear Lake (Lakeport), 9/24 St. Helena, 9/30 at Middletown, 10/8 Willits, 10/15 Fort Bragg, 10/21 at Kelseyville, 10/29 Lower Lake, 11/5 at Portola
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Fort Bragg (14.6), St. Helena (13.4), Middletown (-1.3)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Allen [Elsie] (Santa Rosa) (-59.3), Kelseyville (-21.4), Willits (-18.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -16.8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -13.4
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #838
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #11907
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 1-9
2016 Projected League Finish: 9th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%