St. Mary's (Stockton, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Rams
Colors: Green/White
Coach: Tony Franks
League: Tri-City
Section: Sac-Joaquin
Playoff Division: I-VI
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2015 JV Record: 9-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Popo Aumavae 6'4" 300 Senior DL/OL
Dewey Cotton 5'7" 165 Senior WR/KR
Jake Dunniway 6'1" 190 Senior QB

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Cole Norgaard 6'5" 270 Senior OT

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Size, Depth, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Underclassmen Inexperience

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 45.1
2015 National Rank: #546
2015 State Rank: #52
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4
2016 Starting Power Rating: 53
2016 National Rank: #240
2016 State Rank: #28
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 37.6
Dynasty National Rank: #306
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 15.4
Dynasty Record: 129-37 [128-38 on the field] (67-5 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 10-3
2015 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2015 Points For Average: 39.1
2015 Points Against Average: 22.6
2015 Differential: +16.5
2015 Wins: #654 Napa (28-14), #1381 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (35-34), #2737 Lincoln (Stockton) (29-14), #3367 Tracy (35-14), #3478 St. Ignatius (San Francisco) (47-23), #4411 West [Merrill F.] (Tracy) (53-20), #5257 Stagg [Amos Alonzo] (Stockton) (63-35), #5555 Buhach Colony (Atwater) (38-3), #6584 Tokay (Lodi) (37-6), #6725 Lodi (42-6)
2015 Losses: #50 Folsom (56-49), #69 Central Catholic (Modesto) (36-22), #2497 Los Gatos (33-30)
2015 Opponents W-L: 92-59
Recent Section Championships: 2008 (I), 2004 (I)
Recent League Championships: 2015, 2014, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2004 (San Joaquin)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 2
Streak List: 8/27/16 Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (63-35), 9/2/16 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (49-32)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/27 at Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo), 9/2 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa), 9/9 at Central Catholic (Modesto), 9/16 Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove), 9/23 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 10/7 Tokay (Lodi), 10/14 at West [Merrill F.] (Tracy), 10/21 at Tracy, 10/28 Lodi, 11/4 Lincoln (Stockton)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (80.1), Serra [Junipero] (San Mateo) (53.6), Central Catholic (Modesto) (49.9)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Lodi (-4.7), Tokay (Lodi) (-3), West [Merrill F.] (Tracy) (5.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 18.9 (28.9 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.8
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +10.9
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #69
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #571
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2016 Projected League Finish: 1st
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%