St. John Paul the Great (Dumfries, VA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Wolves Colors: Green/Black/White Coach: Jerry Sarchet League: VISAA Freelance Playoff Division: VISAA 1 Playoff Division Rank: #9 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 3 Returning Defensive Starters: 3 2015 JV Record: 5-5 Starting Quarterback Returning: no Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: no Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Patrick Barkett 5'9" 170 Senior DB 4.8 Michael Kosar 6'5" 190 Sophomore TE 4.7 Ethan Bigbee 5'8" 170 Junior RB 4.5 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Attitude, Expectation To Win Team Weaknesses: Inexperience, 8 New Starters On Each Side Of Ball RATINGS 2015 Final Power Rating: 15 2015 National Rank: #4457 2015 State Rank: #127 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -10.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2016 Starting Power Rating: 4.5 2016 National Rank: #6737 2016 State Rank: #179 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -3.2 Dynasty National Rank: #9240 2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 7.7 Dynasty Record: 41-31 HISTORICAL 2015 Overall Record: 7-4 2015 League Record/Finish:   2015 Points For Average: 21.4 2015 Points Against Average: 23.8 2015 Differential: -2.4 2015 Wins: #5301 Bishop Sullivan Catholic (Virginia Beach) (17-14), #5673 Woodbridge (Bridgeville, DE) (25-19), #6114 Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC) (32-12), #7658 Paul VI (Fairfax) (31-14), #11295 Potomac School (McLean) (28-20), #11708 Northern Valley Regional (Demarest, NJ) (34-12), #13312 Riverside (Ashburn) (45-12) 2015 Losses: #387 Benedictine (Richmond) (45-7), #387 Benedictine (Richmond) (42-0), #1580 Boys Latin (Baltimore, MD) (40-13), #1731 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (32-3) 2015 Opponents W-L: 59-59 Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1 Streak List: 9/2/16 Jefferson [Thomas] (Alexandria) (39-0) SCHEDULE 2016 Schedule: 8/26 at Benedictine (Richmond), 9/2 at Jefferson [Thomas] (Alexandria), 9/10 at Potomac School (McLean), 9/16 at Riverside (Ashburn), 9/23 at Paul VI (Fairfax), 9/30 Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC), 10/7 Woodbridge (Bridgeville, DE), 10/14 Collegiate (Richmond), 10/21 Norfolk Academy (Norfolk), 11/4 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Benedictine (Richmond) (43.3), Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (35.5), Collegiate (Richmond) (21.6) Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Riverside (Ashburn) (-31.5), Jefferson [Thomas] (Alexandria) (-20.2), Potomac School (McLean) (-13) 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 4 (14.9 overall) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.8 2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.8 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #202 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6056 2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5 2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%