GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Dennis Bene
League: 4A Kino (moving from II Section I)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #17
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 3
2015 JV Record: 7-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Jamarye Joiner 6'1" 200 Junior QB 4.5
Alfonso Mele 6'5" 230 Junior DE
Christian Massey 6'4" 240 Junior OL
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Justin Holt 6'0" 295 Senior DT
Jake Ksiazek 6'3" 220 Senior LB
Dylan Eickmeyer 6'3" 270 Senior OG
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Athleticism, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Young, Need To Solidify OL
RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 20.1
2015 National Rank: #3424
2015 State Rank: #52
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 12.7
2016 National Rank: #4829
2016 State Rank: #75
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 32.3
Dynasty National Rank: #634
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 19.6
Dynasty Record: 119-34 (63-6 in league)
HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 5-5
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 1st)
2015 Points For Average: 26.3
2015 Points Against Average: 20.5
2015 Differential: +5.8
2015 Wins: #2417 Boulder Creek (Anthem) (38-24), #3445 Tucson (38-24), #3732 Sahuaro (Tucson) (24-8), #5649 Sahuarita (35-26), #10400 Buena (Sierra Vista) (56-0)
2015 Losses: #643 Skyline (Mesa) (21-11), #1340 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (33-7), #3093 Sunnyside (Tucson) (21-16), #3485 Campo Verde (Gilbert) (14-7), #4195 Cienega (Vail) (34-31)
2015 Opponents W-L: 52-57
Recent State Championships: 2013 (II)
Recent League Championships: 2015 (tied for 1st; II Section I), 2013 (II Section V), 2012 (II Section II), 2011 (II Section II), 2010 (5A Southern), 2009 (5A Southern), 2008 (5A Southern A), 2007 (5A Southern A), 2005 (5A Southern), 2004 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (5A Southern)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 2
Streak List: 8/19/16 St. Mary's (Phoenix) (20-12), 8/26/16 Mountain View (Tucson) (38-20)
SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/19 vs St. Mary's (Phoenix), 8/26 Mountain View (Tucson), 9/9 Tucson, 9/16 at Sunnyside (Tucson), 9/23 at Pueblo (Tucson), 9/30 Cienega (Vail), 10/7 at Walden Grove (Sahuarita), 10/14 at Nogales, 10/21 Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 10/28 Canyon del Oro (Tucson)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (36.8), Tucson (28.4), St. Mary's (Phoenix) (19.7)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Walden Grove (Sahuarita) (-12), Pueblo (Tucson) (-3), Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (2.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.9
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.7
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.2
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #59
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3897
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2016 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%