GENERAL
Nickname: Sabercats
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Jason Mohns
League: 4A Skyline (moving from II Section VI)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #1
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 8
2015 JV Record: 8-0
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
K.J. Jarrell 6'3" 190 Senior DB/WR 4.57
Jared Poplawski 6'4.5" 230 Senior TE/DE 4.7
Kyle Soelle 6'3" 215 Senior OLB/TE 4.6
ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECTS
Corey Stephens 6'2" 290 Senior OL
Brandt Casey 6'0" 215 Senior LB
Donovan Dalton 6'4" 200 Senior WR
Carson Nugent 6'1" 225 Senior ILB
Kayden Lyles 6'3" 325 Senior OG
Jax Wacaser 6'4" 245 Senior OT
Jacob Christofferson 6'1" 155 Senior WR
Sean Seawards 6'3" 315 Senior OG
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Byron Murphy 5'10.75" 165 Senior DB
Julian Carter 6'3" 190 Senior WR
Kare' Lyles 6'1" 215 Senior QB
Michael Weinstein 6'2" 290 Senior OL
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defense, Experience, Have 8 Players With D1 Offers
Team Weaknesses: Have To Replace 3 OL Starters, New QB
RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 54.9
2015 National Rank: #196
2015 State Rank: #6
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.6
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +1.1
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4
2016 Starting Power Rating: 61.1
2016 National Rank: #101
2016 State Rank: #3
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 40.9
Dynasty National Rank: #209
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 20.2
Dynasty Record: 142-29 (59-8 in league)
HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 12-2
2015 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2015 Points For Average: 43.7
2015 Points Against Average: 17.3
2015 Differential: +26.4
2015 Wins: #553 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (38-20), #1081 Westview (Avondale) (55-14), #1087 Queen Creek (54-0), #1740 O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix) (42-33), #1871 Apollo (Glendale) (37-17), #1871 Apollo (Glendale) (49-34), #2980 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (56-14), #3571 Mountain Ridge (Glendale) (30-22), #4466 Valley Vista (Surprise) (62-6), #4800 Westwood (Mesa) (49-0), #5724 Deer Valley (Glendale) (58-14), #6932 Dobson (Mesa) (49-7)
2015 Losses: #27 Centennial (Peoria) (41-21), #702 Pinnacle (Phoenix) (20-12)
2015 Opponents W-L: 87-73
Recent State Championships: 2015 (II), 2014 (III), 2013 (III), 2011 (III), 2010 (4A-I), 2008 (4A-I), 2007 (4A-I), 2006 (4A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2015 (II Section VI), 2014 (III Section III), 2013 (III Section III), 2011 (III Section III), 2010 (4A Desert Sky), 2008 (4A Desert Sky), 2007 (4A Desert Sky), 2004 (4A East Sky)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 14
Streak List: 9/11/15 Dobson (Mesa) (49-7), 9/18/15 Westwood (Mesa) (49-0), 10/2/15 Mountain Ridge (Glendale) (30-22), 10/9/15 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (56-14), 10/16/15 Apollo (Glendale) (49-34), 10/23/15 Deer Valley (Glendale) (58-14), 10/30/15 O'Connor [Sandra Day] (Phoenix) (42-33), 11/6/15 Apollo (Glendale) (37-17), 11/13/15 Queen Creek (54-0), 11/20/15 Westview (Avondale) (55-14), 11/28/15 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (38-20), 8/19/16 Serra [Junipero] (Gardena, CA) (35-20), 8/27/16 Valor Christian (Highlands Ranch, CO) (49-28), 9/2/16 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (35-0)
SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/19 Serra [Junipero] (Gardena, CA), 8/27 at Valor Christian (Highlands Ranch, CO), 9/2 Catalina Foothills (Tucson), 9/9 at Higley (Gilbert), 9/23 at Sunrise Mountain (Peoria), 9/30 Marcos de Niza (Tempe), 10/7 Thunderbird (Phoenix), 10/21 Shadow Mountain (Phoenix), 10/28 at Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Valor Christian (Highlands Ranch, CO) (66.7), Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (52), Serra [Junipero] (Gardena, CA) (48.8)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Shadow Mountain (Phoenix) (9.2), Thunderbird (Phoenix) (13.9), Cactus Shadows (Cave Creek) (14.4)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.5 (31.5 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 35.9
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +14.4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #11
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #228
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-1
2016 Projected League Finish: 1st
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 11%