Providence Catholic (New Lenox, IL)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Celtics
Colors: Kelly Green/White
Coach: Mark Coglianese
League: Chicago Catholic - Blue
Playoff Division: none

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2015 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Richie Warfield 5'11" 200 Senior RB/DB 4.51
Mariano Sori-Marin 6'2" 205 Junior RB/S 4.7
Steven Meyer 6'0" 170 Junior DB/WR 4.65

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Very Good Junior Group, Potentially Very Good At Skill Positions
Team Weaknesses: Inexperienced Lines, Will Be Counting On Many Players With Very Little Varsity Experience

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 33.9
2015 National Rank: #1408
2015 State Rank: #54
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 33.4
2016 National Rank: #1395
2016 State Rank: #44
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 40
Dynasty National Rank: #229
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.6
Dynasty Record: 101-52 (28-32 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th)
2015 Points For Average: 17.7
2015 Points Against Average: 17.9
2015 Differential: -0.2
2015 Wins: #2146 St. Rita (Chicago) (28-0), #6857 Marmion Academy (Aurora) (24-7), #9502 Lake Forest Academy (Lake Forest) (36-6)
2015 Losses: #28 Loyola Academy (Wilmette) (31-7), #278 Joliet Catholic Academy (Joliet) (35-13), #354 Mount Carmel (Chicago) (13-0), #395 Brother Rice (Chicago) (31-24), #418 Bishop McNamara (Kankakee) (24-14), #953 Oswego (14-13)
2015 Opponents W-L: 77-30
Recent State Championships: 2014 (7A), 2004 (6A)
Recent League Championships: 2014 (tied for 1st), 2009, 2004 (tied for 1st; Chicago Catholic Blue)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Vianney (Kirkwood, MO) (28-21)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/27 East St. Louis, 9/2 at Vianney (Kirkwood, MO), 9/9 at St. Rita (Chicago), 9/16 at St. Ignatius (Chicago), 9/23 Brother Rice (Chicago), 10/7 at Fenwick (Oak Park), 10/15 at Loyola Academy (Wilmette), 10/21 Mount Carmel (Chicago)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Loyola Academy (Wilmette) (67.4), Brother Rice (Chicago) (48.6), Mount Carmel (Chicago) (41)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Fenwick (Oak Park) (10.7), St. Ignatius (Chicago) (19.9), East St. Louis (23.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 36.6
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 34.9
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.7
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #3
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #259
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-4
2016 Projected League Finish: 4th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%