Northumberland (Heathsville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Indians
Colors: Green/Gold
Coach: Marcus Cutler
League: Northern Neck (moving from 1A Conference 43)
Playoff Division: 1A
Playoff Division Rank: #34

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 8-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Ray Ball 5'10" 175 4.5
Dequine Johnson 6'3" 190 4.4
Thomas Bingham 6'4" 280 5.5

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: 14 Returning Starters
Team Weaknesses: Coaching Staff Changes

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -27.2
2015 National Rank: #12922
2015 State Rank: #328
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: -25.7
2016 National Rank: #12643
2016 State Rank: #317
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -19.6
Dynasty National Rank: #13121
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.1
Dynasty Record: 42-88 (14-60 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 4-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 1-3 (4th)
2015 Points For Average: 25
2015 Points Against Average: 25.6
2015 Differential: -0.6
2015 Wins: #12384 Lancaster (28-16), #14055 Surry County (Dendron) (38-0), #14133 Northampton (Eastville) (61-20), #14536 King & Queen Central (King & Queen Court House) (46-8)
2015 Losses: #4188 Essex (Tappahannock) (43-16), #10407 Washington & Lee (Montross) (35-14), #10635 Rappahannock (Warsaw) (33-12), #10951 Colonial Beach (26-21), #12470 Middlesex (Saluda) (40-0), #13784 Mathews (35-14)
2015 Opponents W-L: 49-59
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 2
Streak List: 11/6/15 Lancaster (28-16), 8/26/16 Surry County (Dendron) (22-20)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Surry County (Dendron), 9/2 at Northampton (Eastville), 9/9 vs Northampton (Eastville), 9/16 at Mathews, 9/23 Middlesex (Saluda), 9/30 Trinity Episcopal (Richmond), 10/7 Essex (Tappahannock), 10/14 Washington & Lee (Montross), 10/21 Colonial Beach, 10/28 at Rappahannock (Warsaw), 11/5 at Lancaster
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Trinity Episcopal (Richmond) (14.4), Essex (Tappahannock) (9), Colonial Beach (-14.3)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Mathews (-43.5), Northampton (Eastville) (-39.1), Surry County (Dendron) (-37.5)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.6
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -22.7
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.9
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #329
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #13256
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-5
2016 Projected League Finish: 5th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%