Nelson [Thomas] (Bardstown, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Coach: Greg Brohm
League: 3A District 3
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #34

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -30.1
2015 National Rank: #13191
2015 State Rank: #196
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: +3.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: -26.8
2016 National Rank: #12766
2016 State Rank: #188
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -25.6
Dynasty National Rank: #13809
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 1.2
Dynasty Record: 6-24 (2-15 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 1-9
2015 League Record/Finish: 0-5 (6th)
2015 Points For Average: 13
2015 Points Against Average: 38.7
2015 Differential: -25.7
2015 Wins: #14072 Fort Knox (42-0)
2015 Losses: #1440 Central (Louisville) (48-0), #6175 Henry County (New Castle) (42-0), #7247 Bardstown (36-7), #7381 Waggener (Louisville) (68-14), #8994 Bethlehem (Bardstown) (28-14), #9864 Taylor County (Campbellsville) (55-20), #10673 Moore (Louisville) (42-6), #10784 Nelson County (Bardstown) (34-0), #11687 Washington County (Springfield) (34-27)
2015 Opponents W-L: 56-56
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Nelson County (Bardstown) (47-7)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/19 Fort Knox, 8/26 Bethlehem (Bardstown), 9/2 at Nelson County (Bardstown), 9/9 at Washington County (Springfield), 9/23 Moore (Louisville), 9/30 Henry County (New Castle), 10/7 at Central (Louisville), 10/14 at Waggener (Louisville), 10/21 Bardstown, 10/28 at Taylor County (Campbellsville)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Central (Louisville) (29.3), Henry County (New Castle) (4.4), Bardstown (2.8)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Fort Knox (-41.5), Nelson County (Bardstown) (-22.4), Washington County (Springfield) (-19.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -5.3
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -7
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.7
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #154
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10166
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-8
2016 Projected League Finish: 6th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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