Mt. Shasta (CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Blue/Gold
Coach: Tony Pavlic
League: Shasta Cascade
Section: Northern
Playoff Division: IV
Playoff Division Rank: #11

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -36.9
2015 National Rank: #13781
2015 State Rank: #984
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -0.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -3.8
2016 Starting Power Rating: -37.2
2016 National Rank: #13653
2016 State Rank: #990
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -17.5
Dynasty National Rank: #12770
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 19.7
Dynasty Record: 45-86 [46-85 on the field] (26-44 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-7
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 2nd)
2015 Points For Average: 12.6
2015 Points Against Average: 28.1
2015 Differential: -15.5
2015 Wins: #13943 Etna (21-20), #14253 Weed (37-36), #14568 Burney (40-7)
2015 Losses: #6704 Fall River (McArthur) (34-7), #8702 Yreka (36-0), #9747 Pierce (Arbuckle) (36-7), #9853 Trinity (Weaverville) (36-0), #12214 Modoc (Alturas) (13-7), #12300 University Prep (Redding) (29-0), #14253 Weed (34-7)
2015 Opponents W-L: 50-55
Recent Section Championships: 2006 (III)
Recent League Championships: 2006 (Greater Mountain Valley)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Central Valley (Shasta Lake) (28-27)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Pershing County (Lovelock, NV), 9/2 at Central Valley (Shasta Lake), 9/9 at Biggs, 9/16 at Klamath Union (Klamath Falls, OR), 9/23 Durham, 9/30 at Chester, 10/7 University Prep (Redding), 10/14 Fall River (McArthur), 10/21 at Etna, 11/4 at Modoc (Alturas)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Durham (-0.9), Fall River (McArthur) (-2.9), Klamath Union (Klamath Falls, OR) (-7.7)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Biggs (-35), Modoc (Alturas) (-30.1), Etna (-30.1)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -24.9
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -17.5
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #898
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #12646
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 1-9
2016 Projected League Finish: 5th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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