Monticello (Charlottesville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Mustangs
Colors: Black/Gold
League: Jefferson (moving from 3A Conference 29)
Playoff Division: 3A
Playoff Division Rank: #15

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 19.1
2015 National Rank: #3628
2015 State Rank: #105
Roster-Based (Players Back/Lost) Rough Rating Adjustment: -7.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 11.8
2016 National Rank: #5052
2016 State Rank: #132
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 22.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1857
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 10.9
Dynasty Record: 115-39 (50-17 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 8-4
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-1 (3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 22.8
2015 Points Against Average: 16.9
2015 Differential: +5.9
2015 Wins: #4944 Orange County (Orange) (26-14), #5083 Albemarle (Charlottesville) (26-0), #6487 Waynesboro (25-6), #6572 Powhatan (28-10), #7159 Ashby [Turner] (Bridgewater) (40-30), #7628 Charlottesville (30-12), #8156 Spotswood (Penn Laird) (28-14), #12041 Fluvanna County (Palmyra) (49-7)
2015 Losses: #474 Lake Taylor (Norfolk) (38-0), #1301 Lord Botetourt (Daleville) (17-7), #2816 Western Albemarle (Crozet) (28-7), #3836 Louisa County (Mineral) (27-7)
2015 Opponents W-L: 77-60
Recent State Championships: 2007 (3)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (Jefferson AA), 2007 (Jefferson AA), 2005 (tied for 1st; Jefferson AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 8/26/16 Parkside (Washington, DC) (55-0)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 vs Parkside (Washington, DC), 9/9 Ashby [Turner] (Bridgewater), 9/16 Spotswood (Penn Laird), 9/23 at Western Albemarle (Crozet), 9/30 Charlottesville, 10/7 at Fluvanna County (Palmyra), 10/14 at Orange County (Orange), 10/21 Louisa County (Mineral), 10/27 at Albemarle (Charlottesville), 11/4 Powhatan
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Western Albemarle (Crozet) (26.5), Louisa County (Mineral) (16.7), Powhatan (12)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Fluvanna County (Palmyra) (-33.8), Parkside (Washington, DC) (-21.6), Spotswood (Penn Laird) (2.1)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.7 (13.3 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 2.9
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -5.8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #221
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #6949
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2016 Projected League Finish: 4th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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