Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Chuck Petersen
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: 1
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Brandon McKinney 6'0" 180 Senior FS
Travis Yates 6'3" 265 Senior DT
Austin Liles 6'2" 170 Senior WR

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Logan Bathke 6'5" 260 Senior OL
L.J. Northington 6'2" 190 Senior QB
Scean Mustin-Sherman 6'2" 295 Senior OL
Adam Heigis 6'6" 280 Senior OT

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defensive Experience, Team Strength, Work-Ethic
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On Offense, Uncertain Kicking Game, OL Depth

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 58.7
2015 National Rank: #111
2015 State Rank: #14
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -0.5
2016 Starting Power Rating: 57.2
2016 National Rank: #149
2016 State Rank: #17
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 48.7
Dynasty National Rank: #60
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 8.5
Dynasty Record: 108-44 (37-27 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 6-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 28.6
2015 Points Against Average: 33.3
2015 Differential: -4.7
2015 Wins: #101 Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (29-14), #209 Servite (Anaheim) (37-36), #347 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (28-14), #536 St. Bonaventure (Ventura) (54-44), #1970 Dominguez (Compton) (21-13), #2086 Crespi (Encino) (43-28)
2015 Losses: #1 De La Salle (Concord) (41-3), #2 Centennial (Corona) (49-27), #2 Centennial (Corona) (35-14), #4 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (31-12), #17 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (49-35), #153 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (45-40)
2015 Opponents W-L: 109-39
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006 (Pac-5 (I)), 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Crespi (Encino) (23-3)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 vs La Mirada, 9/2 vs Crespi (Encino), 9/9 at Centennial (Corona), 9/16 at Norco, 9/23 Mullen [J. K.] (Denver, CO), 10/7 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano), 10/14 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 10/21 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/28 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 11/4 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (100.8), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (80.1), Centennial (Corona) (75.8)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Crespi (Encino) (36.3), Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (36.3), JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (46.6)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 53.3 (60.7 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 60.4
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7.1
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-5
2016 Projected League Finish: 4th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%