Lower Dauphin (Hummelstown, PA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Greg Kratzer
League: Mid-Penn - Keystone
Playoff Division: AAAAA
Playoff Division Rank: #9

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 7
2015 JV Record: 4-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Brendan Shaffer 6'0" 180 Junior RB/OLB 4.6
Dan Beaver 6'4" 245 Senior OL/DL 5.0
Justin McIntyre 6'4" 235 Senior TE/DE 4.8

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Young But Experienced Defensive Returners, 3 Of 4 Starting DBs Are Back, Return Two Big Targets At TE
Team Weaknesses: Graduated Leading Offensive Weapons, Lost Two All-Conference DL

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 38
2015 National Rank: #997
2015 State Rank: #35
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.2
2016 Starting Power Rating: 34.5
2016 National Rank: #1272
2016 State Rank: #46
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 22.5
Dynasty National Rank: #1894
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 12
Dynasty Record: 88-57 (49-29 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 9-3
2015 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (tied for 3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 31.8
2015 Points Against Average: 14.7
2015 Differential: +17.1
2015 Wins: #881 Susquehanna Township (Harrisburg) (49-42), #1489 Cedar Cliff (Camp Hill) (22-12), #3858 Northern York (Dillsburg) (38-7), #4237 Cedar Crest (Lebanon) (35-13), #4356 Middletown (35-21), #5603 Hershey (44-16), #6336 Red Land (Lewisberry) (35-0), #7249 Chambersburg (38-0), #9846 Mechanicsburg (51-0)
2015 Losses: #396 Bishop McDevitt (Harrisburg) (21-14), #436 Central Dauphin (Harrisburg) (21-13), #1489 Cedar Cliff (Camp Hill) (23-7)
2015 Opponents W-L: 78-60
Recent League Championships: 2013 (tied for 1st), 2005 (Mid-Penn Keystone), 2003 (tied for 1st; Mid-Penn Capital)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 9/2 Middletown, 9/8 at Central Dauphin East (Harrisburg), 9/16 Cedar Crest (Lebanon), 9/23 at Cedar Cliff (Camp Hill), 9/30 at Red Land (Lewisberry), 10/7 Mechanicsburg, 10/14 Susquehanna Township (Harrisburg), 10/21 Cumberland Valley (Mechanicsburg), 10/28 at Bishop McDevitt (Harrisburg), 11/4 at Hershey
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Bishop McDevitt (Harrisburg) (51), Cumberland Valley (Mechanicsburg) (41.1), Cedar Cliff (Camp Hill) (40.3)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Mechanicsburg (-7), Cedar Crest (Lebanon) (12.5), Red Land (Lewisberry) (12.7)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.3 (24.8 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 25.6
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.3
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #31
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1054
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2016 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%