Long Reach (Columbia, MD)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Lightning Coach: Jamie Willis League: Howard County Playoff Division: 3A Playoff Division Rank: #33 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 8 Returning Defensive Starters: 5 2015 JV Record: 9-1 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Greg Benton Jr 6'1" 210 Senior RB/LB 4.73 Tyler Raines 6'3" 195 Senior QB Ethan Cadogan 5'11" 170 Senior DB 4.68 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Returning 8 Offensive Starters Team Weaknesses: Replacing 3 Of 4 Secondary Starters RATINGS 2015 Final Power Rating: -7.2 2015 National Rank: #9575 2015 State Rank: #157 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.5 2016 Starting Power Rating: -0.7 2016 National Rank: #8006 2016 State Rank: #127 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 8.9 Dynasty National Rank: #5293 2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 9.6 Dynasty Record: 68-64 (66-62 in league) HISTORICAL 2015 Overall Record: 2-8 2015 League Record/Finish: 2-8 (10th) 2015 Points For Average: 10.8 2015 Points Against Average: 33.2 2015 Differential: -22.4 2015 Wins: #10950 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (12-6), #11498 Centennial (Ellicott City) (16-14) 2015 Losses: #948 Howard (Ellicott City) (47-12), #2614 Oakland Mills (Columbia) (43-0), #2988 Reservoir (Fulton) (53-14), #3929 Glenelg (53-12), #4154 Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville) (21-0), #4930 River Hill (Clarksville) (35-22), #5909 Atholton (Columbia) (42-6), #7690 Hammond (Columbia) (18-14) 2015 Opponents W-L: 59-52 Recent League Championships: 2005 (tied for 1st) Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1 Streak List: 9/2/16 Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (33-0) SCHEDULE 2016 Schedule: 9/2 at Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City), 9/9 Atholton (Columbia), 9/16 at Marriotts Ridge (Marriottsville), 9/23 Oakland Mills (Columbia), 9/30 Centennial (Ellicott City), 10/7 at River Hill (Clarksville), 10/15 Glenelg, 10/21 at Howard (Ellicott City), 10/28 at Reservoir (Fulton), 11/4 Hammond (Columbia) Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Howard (Ellicott City) (36.2), Reservoir (Fulton) (30.7), Oakland Mills (Columbia) (27) Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Centennial (Ellicott City) (-21.5), Mt. Hebron (Ellicott City) (-10.2), Hammond (Columbia) (-5.3) 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.1 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.8 2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.3 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #58 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4486 2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7 2016 Projected League Finish: 9th 2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%