La Joya Community (Avondale, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Fighting Lobos
Colors: Navy/Vegas Gold
Coach: Josh Mitchell
League: 6A Southwest (moving from III Section V)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #33

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2015 JV Record: 2-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Aaron Murphy 6'2" 225 Senior MLB/RB 4.61
Hunter Older 6'1" 215 Senior WR/DB 4.75
Alejandro Ceja 6'1" 285 Senior C/DT 5.6

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Athleticism, Speed
Team Weaknesses: Lacking Experience/Size

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -1
2015 National Rank: #8201
2015 State Rank: #113
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.9
2016 Starting Power Rating: -2.5
2016 National Rank: #8408
2016 State Rank: #122
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -6.5
Dynasty National Rank: #10217
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 4
Dynasty Record: 38-74 (18-55 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-7
2015 League Record/Finish: 1-4 (5th)
2015 Points For Average: 17.1
2015 Points Against Average: 43.1
2015 Differential: -26
2015 Wins: #8979 Sierra Linda (Phoenix) (25-23), #9125 Greenway (Phoenix) (35-33), #10256 Yuma (34-14)
2015 Losses: #376 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (55-8), #1057 Verrado (Buckeye) (31-0), #1176 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (65-6), #3508 Mountain View (Tucson) (51-6), #3894 Cactus (Glendale) (56-15), #4433 Agua Fria (Avondale) (56-24), #4935 Buckeye (47-18)
2015 Opponents W-L: 70-40
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Alhambra (Phoenix) (54-22)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Corona del Sol (Tempe), 9/2 at Alhambra (Phoenix), 9/9 at Mountain Ridge (Glendale), 9/16 Dobson (Mesa), 9/23 Sierra Linda (Phoenix), 9/30 at Millennium (Goodyear), 10/7 at Westview (Avondale), 10/14 Copper Canyon (Glendale), 10/21 at Valley Vista (Surprise), 10/28 Tolleson
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Westview (Avondale) (41.7), Corona del Sol (Tempe) (20), Valley Vista (Surprise) (19.5)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Copper Canyon (Glendale) (-27.2), Sierra Linda (Phoenix) (-13.6), Alhambra (Phoenix) (-1.3)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 16.8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 9.4
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #75
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #4952
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2016 Projected League Finish: 5th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%