Kettle Run (Nokesville, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Cougars
Coach: Jeff Lloyd
League: Evergreen (moving from 4A Conference 22)
Playoff Division: 4A
Playoff Division Rank: #37

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -2.4
2015 National Rank: #8512
2015 State Rank: #233
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 2.9
2016 National Rank: #7128
2016 State Rank: #190
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 11.3
Dynasty National Rank: #4543
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 8.4
Dynasty Record: 47-44 (16-10 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-7
2015 League Record/Finish: 1-1 (3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 16.6
2015 Points Against Average: 25.7
2015 Differential: -9.1
2015 Wins: #6948 Fauquier (Warrenton) (13-7), #7629 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (28-14), #12348 Manassas Park (48-14)
2015 Losses: #1792 Millbrook (Winchester) (34-7), #2353 Eastern View (Culpeper) (41-14), #3768 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville) (33-6), #4551 Liberty (Bealeton) (49-7), #5083 Albemarle (Charlottesville) (20-7), #8229 Petersburg (24-19), #8779 Culpeper County (Culpeper) (21-17)
2015 Opponents W-L: 55-55
Recent League Championships: 2014 (3A Conference 27), 2013 (3A Conference 27), 2011 (AA Evergreen)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Loudoun Valley (Purcellville), 9/2 Albemarle (Charlottesville), 9/9 at Petersburg, 9/16 at Millbrook (Winchester), 9/23 at Liberty (Bealeton), 9/30 Fauquier (Warrenton), 10/7 Culpeper County (Culpeper), 10/21 Brentsville District (Nokesville), 10/28 at Manassas Park, 11/4 at Eastern View (Culpeper)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Millbrook (Winchester) (33.6), Liberty (Bealeton) (16.3), Eastern View (Culpeper) (16)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Manassas Park (-20), Culpeper County (Culpeper) (-2.1), Petersburg (0.8)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 7.2
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -0.8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #189
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5630
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2016 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%



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