JSerra (San Juan Capistrano, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lions
Colors: Cardinal/Black/Gold
Coach: Jim Hartigan
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: 1
Playoff Division Rank: #15

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 2
Returning Defensive Starters: 3

TOP PLAYERS
Riley O'Brien 5'11" 170 Senior RB/SS

ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Zelan Tupuola 6'2" 295 Senior OG

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Luke Wattenberg 6'4" 255 Senior OL 5.1
Conor O'Brien 5'11" 170 Senior DB 4.6
Isaiah Diego-Williams 5'9" 160 Senior WR
Nick Harris 6'2" 275 Senior OL
Edward Vander 6'0" 185 Senior WR
Corey Selenski 6'1" 205 Senior LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Young Talent
Team Weaknesses: Small Senior Class, Young At Many Positions, Only Return 2 OL

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 56.6
2015 National Rank: #153
2015 State Rank: #21
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -6.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.1
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +1.7
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.4
2016 Starting Power Rating: 46.6
2016 National Rank: #416
2016 State Rank: #49
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 21
Dynasty National Rank: #2165
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 25.6
Dynasty Record: 54-60 [59-55 on the field] (11-38 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 7-3
2015 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (tied for 3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 35.9
2015 Points Against Average: 25.1
2015 Differential: +10.8
2015 Wins: #17 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (35-28), #111 Lutheran (Orange) (45-40), #377 Chino Hills (42-14), #4270 St. Paul (Santa Fe Springs) (42-7), #5326 Huntington Beach (39-8), #6142 Cabrillo (Long Beach) (48-13), #6760 Hamilton [Alexander] (Los Angeles) (42-14)
2015 Losses: #4 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (60-7), #209 Servite (Anaheim) (39-38), #347 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (28-21)
2015 Opponents W-L: 64-48
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 4
Streak List: 10/30/15 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (35-28), 11/6/15 Lutheran (Orange) (45-40), 8/26/16 Sacramento (35-7), 9/2/16 Alemany (Mission Hills) (28-27)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 vs Sacramento, 9/2 at Alemany (Mission Hills), 9/9 at Bishop Amat (La Puente), 9/15 vs Vista Murrieta (Murrieta), 9/22 vs Los Alamitos, 10/7 vs Lutheran (Orange), 10/14 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/21 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/27 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 11/4 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (100.8), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (80.1), Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (62.7)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Los Alamitos (21), Sacramento (31.6), Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (36.3)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 40.3
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 54.8
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +14.5
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #4
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2016 Projected League Finish: 5th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%