Fossil Ridge (Keller, TX)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Tony Baccarini
League: 6A Region I District 3 (moving from 6A Region I District 5)
Playoff Division: 6A
Playoff Division Rank: #71

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2015 JV Record: 6-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Anthony Smith 5'11" 195 Senior RB 4.32
Tyler Mitchell 6'3" 220 Senior DE 4.6
Max Akin 5'10" 175 Senior WR/QB 4.6

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Bryce Baccarini 6'2" 210 Senior QB 4.6
Randall Friday 6'0" 200 Senior LB 4.6
Noah Powell 5'11" 175 Senior CB

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 35.1
2015 National Rank: #1273
2015 State Rank: #156
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.1
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 34.5
2016 National Rank: #1272
2016 State Rank: #155
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 28.6
Dynasty National Rank: #1011
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 5.9
Dynasty Record: 74-66 (50-39 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 5-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 27.5
2015 Points Against Average: 33.6
2015 Differential: -6.1
2015 Wins: #932 Keller (48-41), #2019 Lee [Robert E.] (Tyler) (59-35), #2286 Keller Central (Keller) (34-21), #2801 Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (28-21), #3479 Northwest (Justin) (27-26)
2015 Losses: #72 Lake Ridge (Mansfield) (30-13), #78 Ryan [Billy] (Denton) (24-21), #186 Marcus (Flower Mound) (57-14), #247 Guyer [John H.] (Denton) (50-20), #708 Nelson [Byron] (Trophy Club) (41-31), #1333 Midlothian (24-7)
2015 Opponents W-L: 77-50
Recent League Championships: 2007 (4A Region I District 6), 2006 (4A Region I District 6)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 2
Streak List: 8/26/16 Lamar (Arlington) (41-31), 9/2/16 Flower Mound (23-16)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Lamar (Arlington), 9/2 at Flower Mound, 9/9 Saginaw, 9/16 vs Rowlett, 9/23 Timber Creek (Fort Worth), 9/30 at Abilene, 10/7 at Haltom (Haltom City), 10/20 at Keller Central (Keller), 10/27 Weatherford, 11/4 Keller
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Abilene (44.6), Rowlett (43.4), Keller Central (Keller) (35.4)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Saginaw (12.8), Haltom (Haltom City) (17.9), Timber Creek (Fort Worth) (19.7)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 35.9 (41.9 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.8
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -6.1
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #85
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #573
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2016 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%