Fern Creek (Louisville, KY) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Tigers Colors: Burnt Orange/Black Coach: Joshua Abell League: 5A District 4 Playoff Division: 5A Playoff Division Rank: #5 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 6 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 2015 JV Record: 2-3 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS Kyree Hawkins 6'1" 205 Senior RB/LB 4.7 Shamar Bryant 6'0" 190 Senior QB Dylan Dunbar 6'1" 225 Junior LB 4.9 COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION Lamarius Kinslow 6'2" 220 Senior LB STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Fast/Experienced Defense, OL Team Weaknesses: May Struggle To Find Offensive Identity Given Significant Graduation Losses, Lost Five 4-Year Starters RATINGS 2015 Final Power Rating: 32.9 2015 National Rank: #1519 2015 State Rank: #25 General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5 D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.3 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -5 2016 Starting Power Rating: 32.2 2016 National Rank: #1534 2016 State Rank: #23 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 16.4 Dynasty National Rank: #3159 2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 15.8 Dynasty Record: 76-70 (26-28 in league) HISTORICAL 2015 Overall Record: 12-2 2015 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st) 2015 Points For Average: 29.6 2015 Points Against Average: 7.8 2015 Differential: +21.8 2015 Wins: #1552 DeSales (Louisville) (14-0), #2932 South Oldham (Crestwood) (21-20), #4398 Fairdale (17-7), #4780 North Bullitt (Shepherdsville) (28-7), #6250 Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville) (30-0), #6453 Butler (Louisville) (38-6), #8598 Doss (Louisville) (37-8), #9365 Southern (Louisville) (39-0), #10139 Iroquois (Louisville) (41-0), #10673 Moore (Louisville) (48-12), #12367 Atherton (Louisville) (41-0), #12785 Seneca (Louisville) (42-0) 2015 Losses: #305 Bowling Green (21-0), #908 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (28-18) 2015 Opponents W-L: 84-79 Recent League Championships: 2015, 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A District 5) Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1 Streak List: 9/2/16 Moore (Louisville) (55-10) SCHEDULE 2016 Schedule: 8/19 at Seneca (Louisville), 8/26 at DuPont Manual (Louisville), 9/2 Moore (Louisville), 9/9 Butler (Louisville), 9/16 at DeSales (Louisville), 9/23 at Fairdale, 9/29 Southern (Louisville), 10/7 at Doss (Louisville), 10/15 Iroquois (Louisville), 10/21 at Atherton (Louisville) Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: DuPont Manual (Louisville) (34.9), DeSales (Louisville) (27.7), Fairdale (2.3) Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Seneca (Louisville) (-30.6), Atherton (Louisville) (-18.9), Iroquois (Louisville) (-16.3) 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.1 (11.7 overall) 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.8 2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.3 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #128 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8544 2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1 2016 Projected League Finish: 1st 2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 15% |