Fern Creek (Louisville, KY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Tigers
Colors: Burnt Orange/Black
Coach: Joshua Abell
League: 5A District 4
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #5

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 2-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Kyree Hawkins 6'1" 205 Senior RB/LB 4.7
Shamar Bryant 6'0" 190 Senior QB
Dylan Dunbar 6'1" 225 Junior LB 4.9

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Lamarius Kinslow 6'2" 220 Senior LB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Fast/Experienced Defense, OL
Team Weaknesses: May Struggle To Find Offensive Identity Given Significant Graduation Losses, Lost Five 4-Year Starters

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 32.9
2015 National Rank: #1519
2015 State Rank: #25
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.3
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -5
2016 Starting Power Rating: 32.2
2016 National Rank: #1534
2016 State Rank: #23
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 16.4
Dynasty National Rank: #3159
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 15.8
Dynasty Record: 76-70 (26-28 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 12-2
2015 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2015 Points For Average: 29.6
2015 Points Against Average: 7.8
2015 Differential: +21.8
2015 Wins: #1552 DeSales (Louisville) (14-0), #2932 South Oldham (Crestwood) (21-20), #4398 Fairdale (17-7), #4780 North Bullitt (Shepherdsville) (28-7), #6250 Bullitt Central (Shepherdsville) (30-0), #6453 Butler (Louisville) (38-6), #8598 Doss (Louisville) (37-8), #9365 Southern (Louisville) (39-0), #10139 Iroquois (Louisville) (41-0), #10673 Moore (Louisville) (48-12), #12367 Atherton (Louisville) (41-0), #12785 Seneca (Louisville) (42-0)
2015 Losses: #305 Bowling Green (21-0), #908 DuPont Manual (Louisville) (28-18)
2015 Opponents W-L: 84-79
Recent League Championships: 2015, 2013 (tied for 1st; 6A District 5)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Moore (Louisville) (55-10)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/19 at Seneca (Louisville), 8/26 at DuPont Manual (Louisville), 9/2 Moore (Louisville), 9/9 Butler (Louisville), 9/16 at DeSales (Louisville), 9/23 at Fairdale, 9/29 Southern (Louisville), 10/7 at Doss (Louisville), 10/15 Iroquois (Louisville), 10/21 at Atherton (Louisville)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: DuPont Manual (Louisville) (34.9), DeSales (Louisville) (27.7), Fairdale (2.3)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Seneca (Louisville) (-30.6), Atherton (Louisville) (-18.9), Iroquois (Louisville) (-16.3)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -3.1 (11.7 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.8
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +1.3
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #128
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8544
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2016 Projected League Finish: 1st
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 15%