Cienega (Vail, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bobcats
Colors: Navy/Copper
Coach: Pat Nugent
League: 5A Southern (moving from II Section I)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #16

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 4
2015 JV Record: 7-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Bryce Fontana 6'1" 270 Senior NG/OL 5.3
Aaron Sauls 6'0" 170 Senior RB/C 4.5
Dakota Poe 6'1" 175 Senior RB/C 4.5

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Team Speed, Skill Positions Speed
Team Weaknesses: OL Depth

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 16.3
2015 National Rank: #4195
2015 State Rank: #65
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 17.8
2016 National Rank: #3698
2016 State Rank: #61
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 24.7
Dynasty National Rank: #1552
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.9
Dynasty Record: 114-40 (60-9 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 4-6
2015 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 1st)
2015 Points For Average: 23.3
2015 Points Against Average: 29.7
2015 Differential: -6.4
2015 Wins: #3424 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (34-31), #3445 Tucson (10-7), #5587 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (31-28), #10400 Buena (Sierra Vista) (43-22)
2015 Losses: #553 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (49-6), #699 Basha (Chandler) (42-23), #2592 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (23-17), #3093 Sunnyside (Tucson) (32-29), #3508 Mountain View (Tucson) (49-30), #3732 Sahuaro (Tucson) (14-10)
2015 Opponents W-L: 57-54
Recent League Championships: 2015 (tied for 1st; II Section I), 2014 (II Section II), 2013 (tied for 1st; II Section II), 2010 (4A Kino), 2009 (4A Kino), 2008 (4A Kino), 2006 (4A Kino), 2005 (4A Kino), 2004 (tied for 1st; 4A Kino)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 5
Streak List: 10/16/15 Tucson (10-7), 10/23/15 Buena (Sierra Vista) (43-22), 10/30/15 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (34-31), 8/26/16 Marana (Tucson) (52-20), 9/2/16 Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (40-14)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Marana (Tucson), 9/2 at Shadow Ridge (Surprise), 9/9 at Nogales, 9/16 Flowing Wells (Tucson), 9/23 Tucson, 9/30 at Salpointe Catholic (Tucson), 10/7 Sahuaro (Tucson), 10/14 Buena (Sierra Vista), 10/21 at Ironwood Ridge (Tucson), 10/28 at Mountain View (Tucson)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (37.4), Tucson (28.4), Marana (Tucson) (23.1)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Buena (Sierra Vista) (-18.3), Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (-1), Mountain View (Tucson) (9.9)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.1
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.2
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.9
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #58
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3741
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2016 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%