Cienega (Vail, AZ) previews home GENERAL Nickname: Bobcats Colors: Navy/Copper Coach: Pat Nugent League: 5A Southern (moving from II Section I) Playoff Division: 5A Playoff Division Rank: #16 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 5 Returning Defensive Starters: 4 2015 JV Record: 7-2 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Bryce Fontana 6'1" 270 Senior NG/OL 5.3 Aaron Sauls 6'0" 170 Senior RB/C 4.5 Dakota Poe 6'1" 175 Senior RB/C 4.5 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Team Speed, Skill Positions Speed Team Weaknesses: OL Depth RATINGS 2015 Final Power Rating: 16.3 2015 National Rank: #4195 2015 State Rank: #65 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2016 Starting Power Rating: 17.8 2016 National Rank: #3698 2016 State Rank: #61 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 24.7 Dynasty National Rank: #1552 2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 6.9 Dynasty Record: 114-40 (60-9 in league) HISTORICAL 2015 Overall Record: 4-6 2015 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (tied for 1st) 2015 Points For Average: 23.3 2015 Points Against Average: 29.7 2015 Differential: -6.4 2015 Wins: #3424 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (34-31), #3445 Tucson (10-7), #5587 Canyon del Oro (Tucson) (31-28), #10400 Buena (Sierra Vista) (43-22) 2015 Losses: #553 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (49-6), #699 Basha (Chandler) (42-23), #2592 Catalina Foothills (Tucson) (23-17), #3093 Sunnyside (Tucson) (32-29), #3508 Mountain View (Tucson) (49-30), #3732 Sahuaro (Tucson) (14-10) 2015 Opponents W-L: 57-54 Recent League Championships: 2015 (tied for 1st; II Section I), 2014 (II Section II), 2013 (tied for 1st; II Section II), 2010 (4A Kino), 2009 (4A Kino), 2008 (4A Kino), 2006 (4A Kino), 2005 (4A Kino), 2004 (tied for 1st; 4A Kino) Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 5 Streak List: 10/16/15 Tucson (10-7), 10/23/15 Buena (Sierra Vista) (43-22), 10/30/15 Salpointe Catholic (Tucson) (34-31), 8/26/16 Marana (Tucson) (52-20), 9/2/16 Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (40-14) SCHEDULE 2016 Schedule: 8/26 Marana (Tucson), 9/2 at Shadow Ridge (Surprise), 9/9 at Nogales, 9/16 Flowing Wells (Tucson), 9/23 Tucson, 9/30 at Salpointe Catholic (Tucson), 10/7 Sahuaro (Tucson), 10/14 Buena (Sierra Vista), 10/21 at Ironwood Ridge (Tucson), 10/28 at Mountain View (Tucson) Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (37.4), Tucson (28.4), Marana (Tucson) (23.1) Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Buena (Sierra Vista) (-18.3), Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (-1), Mountain View (Tucson) (9.9) 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21.1 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 13.2 2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -7.9 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #58 2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3741 2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4 2016 Projected League Finish: 2nd 2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1% |