GENERAL
Nickname: Firebirds
Colors: Scarlet/Old Gold
Coach: Thomas Lewis
League: 5A East Valley (moving from I Section II)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #3
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 4
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 3-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no
TOP PLAYERS
Grayson Barry 6'3" 190 Senior QB
Parker Walton 6'1" 210 Senior LB
Johnston Hunter 6'6" 260 Senior T/DE
ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Mason Drake 6'2" 195 Senior CB
COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Brandon Jamison 6'2" 210 Senior DE
Christian Skeptaris 6'2" 195 Senior TE
Kurt Shughart 5'10" 195 Senior S
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Several 3-Year Senior Starters Returning, Team Speed, Experienced OL
Team Weaknesses: Graduated Several Senior Leaders, Need To Fill Holes At TB/WR
RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 54.6
2015 National Rank: #199
2015 State Rank: #7
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -2.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.3
2016 Starting Power Rating: 50.2
2016 National Rank: #302
2016 State Rank: #10
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 43.8
Dynasty National Rank: #131
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 6.4
Dynasty Record: 144-30 (60-8 in league)
HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 9-3
2015 League Record/Finish: 4-1 (tied for 1st)
2015 Points For Average: 28.1
2015 Points Against Average: 18.2
2015 Differential: +9.9
2015 Wins: #42 Helix (La Mesa, CA) (23-19), #376 Desert Edge (Goodyear) (23-14), #702 Pinnacle (Phoenix) (17-10), #735 Red Mountain (Mesa) (35-28), #830 Highland (Gilbert) (19-14), #998 Liberty (Peoria) (42-27), #1302 Perry (Gilbert) (27-17), #2417 Boulder Creek (Anthem) (42-0), #4880 Horizon (Scottsdale) (61-14)
2015 Losses: #27 Centennial (Peoria) (20-17), #51 Chandler (22-10), #90 Desert Ridge (Mesa) (33-21)
2015 Opponents W-L: 79-65
Recent State Championships: 2011 (II), 2010 (5A-II), 2009 (5A-II)
Recent League Championships: 2015 (tied for 1st; I Section II), 2013 (II Section VII), 2011 (II Section III), 2010 (5A Desert Valley), 2009 (tied for 1st; 5A Desert Valley), 2006 (4A Desert Sky), 2005 (4A Desert Sky), 2003 (4A East Sky)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 at Horizon (Scottsdale), 9/1 Centennial (Peoria), 9/9 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale), 9/16 at Williams Field (Gilbert), 9/23 Sunnyslope (Phoenix), 9/30 at Notre Dame Prep (Scottsdale), 10/7 at Liberty (Peoria), 10/14 at Paradise Valley (Phoenix), 10/21 North Canyon (Phoenix), 10/28 Arcadia (Phoenix)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Centennial (Peoria) (55.1), Williams Field (Gilbert) (34.1), Desert Mountain (Scottsdale) (32.8)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: North Canyon (Phoenix) (-8.2), Horizon (Scottsdale) (3.4), Sunnyslope (Phoenix) (22.3)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 39.6 (45.9 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 24.5
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: -15.1
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #23
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1207
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-1
2016 Projected League Finish: 1st
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 29%