Broad Run (Ashburn, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Spartans
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Matt Griffis
League: Potomac (moving from 5A Conference 14)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #7

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 7-3
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Meech Hembry 5'9" 200 Senior RB/SS 4.45
Jacob Boone 6'4" 250 Senior OL/DL 4.85
Connor Gorey 5'11" 275 Senior C/NG 5.05

COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Chris Moore 6'2" 185 Senior DB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Strong Lines, All-State RB/SS Returning, Fast/Athletic
Team Weaknesses: Replacing QB/WR

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 37.4
2015 National Rank: #1067
2015 State Rank: #28
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: 36.5
2016 National Rank: #1070
2016 State Rank: #28
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 27.3
Dynasty National Rank: #1153
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 9.2
Dynasty Record: 104-44-1 (47-24-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 8-4
2015 League Record/Finish: 2-2 (3rd)
2015 Points For Average: 34
2015 Points Against Average: 21.3
2015 Differential: +12.7
2015 Wins: #2126 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (28-7), #2635 Oakton (Vienna) (28-21), #2845 Briar Woods (Ashburn) (31-24), #2845 Briar Woods (Ashburn) (44-17), #2939 Centreville (Clifton) (56-21), #4336 Wakefield (Arlington) (40-6), #4675 Langley (McLean) (45-21), #6522 Yorktown (Arlington) (51-3)
2015 Losses: #472 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (27-13), #472 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (35-10), #670 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (43-42), #803 Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax) (31-20)
2015 Opponents W-L: 79-65
Recent State Championships: 2009 (4), 2008 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2011 (tied for 1st; AAA Cedar Run), 2009 (AA Dulles), 2008 (Dulles AA), 2007 (Dulles AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: 1
Streak List: 9/2/16 Wakefield (Arlington) (41-6)

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Potomac Falls (Sterling), 9/2 at Wakefield (Arlington), 9/9 Langley (McLean), 9/16 Centreville (Clifton), 9/23 Briar Woods (Ashburn), 10/7 Yorktown (Arlington), 10/14 Stone Bridge (Ashburn), 10/21 at Oakton (Vienna), 10/28 Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax), 11/4 at Tuscarora (Leesburg)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (45.4), Robinson [J. W.] (Fairfax) (44.5), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (39.1)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Langley (McLean) (5.2), Yorktown (Arlington) (5.6), Wakefield (Arlington) (17.7)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 23.2 (29 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 26.4
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.2
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #14
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #957
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 7-3
2016 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 1%