GENERAL
Nickname: Falcons
Colors: Navy/Orange
Coach: Charlie Pierce
League: Potomac (moving from 5A Conference 14)
Playoff Division: 5A
Playoff Division Rank: #16
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Mark Birmingham 6'3" 235 Senior TE
RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: 23.4
2015 National Rank: #2845
2015 State Rank: #86
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
Player Statistics-Based (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.9
2016 Starting Power Rating: 28.4
2016 National Rank: #1973
2016 State Rank: #60
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): 32.5
Dynasty National Rank: #614
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.1
Dynasty Record: 91-34 (41-13 in league)
HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-8
2015 League Record/Finish: 0-4 (5th)
2015 Points For Average: 19.9
2015 Points Against Average: 28.1
2015 Differential: -8.2
2015 Wins: #1714 South Lakes (Reston) (24-20), #1862 Chantilly (24-21), #9371 Lee [Robert E.] (Springfield) (42-14)
2015 Losses: #154 Westfield (Chantilly) (36-0), #421 South County (Lorton) (47-28), #472 Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (28-17), #670 Tuscarora (Leesburg) (22-16), #1067 Broad Run (Ashburn) (44-17), #1067 Broad Run (Ashburn) (31-24), #1998 West Potomac (Alexandria) (29-27), #2126 Potomac Falls (Sterling) (17-0)
2015 Opponents W-L: 100-40
Recent State Championships: 2012 (4), 2011 (4), 2010 (4)
Recent League Championships: 2013 (5A Conference 14), 2012 (AA Dulles), 2011 (AA Dulles), 2010 (AA Dulles)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 8/26 Tuscarora (Leesburg), 9/2 South County (Lorton), 9/9 South Lakes (Reston), 9/16 at West Potomac (Alexandria), 9/23 at Broad Run (Ashburn), 9/30 at Lee [Robert E.] (Springfield), 10/7 Westfield (Chantilly), 10/14 at Potomac Falls (Sterling), 10/21 at Chantilly, 11/4 at Stone Bridge (Ashburn)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Westfield (Chantilly) (53.4), Stone Bridge (Ashburn) (45.4), Tuscarora (Leesburg) (39.1)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Lee [Robert E.] (Springfield) (-2), Potomac Falls (Sterling) (26.7), West Potomac (Alexandria) (29.3)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 29.1 (34.8 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 33.6
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +4.5
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #322
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2016 Projected League Finish: 4th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%
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