AuSable Valley (Clintonville, NY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Patriots
Colors: Red/Blue/White
Coach: Ed McCallister
League: Section 7
Playoff Division: C
Playoff Division Rank: #33

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 5
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2015 JV Record: 2-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defense, Second Year In System, Many Outstanding Players Returning
Team Weaknesses: Offensive Graduation Losses

RATINGS
2015 Final Power Rating: -12.1
2015 National Rank: #10550
2015 State Rank: #380
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +2.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2016 Starting Power Rating: -9.6
2016 National Rank: #9989
2016 State Rank: #353
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2015 Rating): -12.4
Dynasty National Rank: #11760
2016 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 2.8
Dynasty Record: 42-84 (22-44 in league)

HISTORICAL
2015 Overall Record: 3-7
2015 League Record/Finish: 2-4 (tied for 4th)
2015 Points For Average: 9.1
2015 Points Against Average: 25.2
2015 Differential: -16.1
2015 Wins: #8274 Beekmantown (Plattsburgh) (8-6), #10885 Saranac Lake (20-14), #13019 Plattsburgh (13-7)
2015 Losses: #3655 Ticonderoga (35-7), #5175 Moriah (Port Henry) (49-12), #5418 Whitehall (41-0), #5486 Franklin Academy (Malone) (30-6), #6826 Gouverneur (24-0), #8980 Peru (30-13), #10885 Saranac Lake (16-12)
2015 Opponents W-L: 60-35
Recent League Championships: 2006 (Section 7/10 Class C/D), 2004 (Section 7/10 Northern Division III)
Winning Streak Entering 2016 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2016 Schedule: 9/3 at Saranac Lake, 9/9 Ticonderoga, 9/16 Plattsburgh, 9/24 at Peru, 9/30 Saranac, 10/7 Beekmantown (Plattsburgh), 10/14 at Moriah (Port Henry)
Highest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Ticonderoga (22), Moriah (Port Henry) (9.1), Beekmantown (Plattsburgh) (5.7)
Lowest-Rated 2016 Regular Season Opponents: Plattsburgh (-28.2), Saranac Lake (-10.1), Peru (-8.5)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2.1 (-1.3 overall)
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.3
2016 vs. 2015 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.8
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #181
2016 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #8418
2016 Projected Regular Season Record: 2-5
2016 Projected League Finish: 5th
2016 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%