St. Mary's (Phoenix, AZ)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Knights
Colors: Green/White
Coach: Todd Williamson
League: II Section II (moving from II Section I)
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #23

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Jorden Blake 6'1" 180 Junior FS/WR
Abel Navarrette 6'2" 230 Junior LB
Chris Araiza 5'9" 165 Senior CB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Defense
Team Weaknesses: Lost 3-Year Starter At QB, Lost Leading WRs

RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 13.4
2014 National Rank: #4812
2014 State Rank: #73
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: 17.9
2015 National Rank: #3751
2015 State Rank: #59
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 9.5
Dynasty National Rank: #5097
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 8.4
Dynasty Record: 61-67 [60-68 on the field] (38-28 in league)

HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 7-4
2014 League Record/Finish: 7-1 (2nd)
2014 Points For Average: 28.7
2014 Points Against Average: 23.5
2014 Differential: +5.2
2014 Wins: #5978 La Joya Community (Avondale) (38-26), #6217 Tolleson (35-26), #8224 Fairfax [Betty H.] (Laveen) (21-7), #10667 Camelback (Phoenix) (35-0), #10897 Browne [Trevor G.] (Phoenix) (48-10), #12228 Copper Canyon (Glendale) (20-18), #13136 Hayden [Carl] (Phoenix) (50-6)
2014 Losses: #261 Liberty (Peoria) (45-20), #835 Skyline (Mesa) (56-26), #1477 Sunnyslope (Phoenix) (31-16), #4246 Notre Dame Prep (Scottsdale) (34-7)
2014 Opponents W-L: 60-58
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 8/21 at Gilbert, 8/28 at Seton Catholic (Chandler), 9/4 at Corona del Sol (Tempe), 9/11 Desert Mountain (Scottsdale), 9/18 Valley Vista (Surprise), 9/25 at Westview (Avondale), 10/9 Millennium (Goodyear), 10/16 at Willow Canyon (Surprise), 10/23 at Tolleson, 10/30 Shadow Ridge (Surprise)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Westview (Avondale) (33.2), Valley Vista (Surprise) (25), Seton Catholic (Chandler) (20)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Corona del Sol (Tempe) (2.3), Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (8.4), Willow Canyon (Surprise) (9.1)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -2 (11.5 overall)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 14.6
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: +16.6
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #53
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3251
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2015 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%