St. John Paul the Great (Dumfries, VA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Wolves Colors: Green/Black/White Coach: Jerry Sarchet League: VISAA Freelance Playoff Division: VISAA 1 Playoff Division Rank: #9 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 7 Returning Defensive Starters: 6 2014 JV Record: 5-4 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: yes Top Receiver Returning: no Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: yes TOP PLAYERS Chauncey Wallace 6'3" 190 Senior WR/OLB 4.5 Michael Horan 5'9" 160 Senior RB/DB 4.6 John Simms 5'10" 200 Senior OL/LB 4.9 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experience, Skill Positions Team Weaknesses: Depth On Lines RATINGS 2014 Final Power Rating: 4.5 2014 National Rank: #6811 2014 State Rank: #197 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1 2015 Starting Power Rating: 10 2015 National Rank: #5458 2015 State Rank: #149 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): -6.3 Dynasty National Rank: #10198 2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 16.3 Dynasty Record: 34-27 HISTORICAL 2014 Overall Record: 7-4 2014 League Record/Finish:   2014 Points For Average: 29.6 2014 Points Against Average: 23.3 2014 Differential: +6.3 2014 Wins: #2641 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (35-28), #6347 Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC) (33-30), #9883 Potomac School (McLean) (28-21), #10492 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (28-9), #11939 Randolph-Macon Academy (Front Royal) (39-0), #13785 Concordia Prep (Towson, MD) (56-6), #14594 Rappahannock County (Washington) (52-26) 2014 Losses: #2641 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (26-0), #2927 Fredericksburg Christian (Fredericksburg) (23-7), #3870 Northern Valley Regional (Demarest, NJ) (40-22), #5901 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy (Suffolk) (47-26) 2014 Opponents W-L: 59-56 Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: 2 Streak List: 9/11/15 Potomac School (McLean) (28-20), 9/18/15 Riverside (Ashburn) (45-12) SCHEDULE 2015 Schedule: 9/4 vs Benedictine (Richmond), 9/11 at Potomac School (McLean), 9/18 at Riverside (Ashburn), 9/25 Paul VI (Fairfax), 10/3 at Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC), 10/9 at Woodbridge, 10/9 at Woodbridge (Bridgeville, DE), 10/17 Northern Valley Regional (Demarest, NJ), 10/24 Boys Latin (Baltimore, MD), 10/31 Bishop Sullivan Catholic (Virginia Beach), 11/7 at Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Benedictine (Richmond) (43.8), Boys Latin (Baltimore, MD) (27.1), Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (25.3) Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Woodbridge (Bridgeville, DE) (-8.7), Paul VI (Fairfax) (-3.1), Potomac School (McLean) (0.1) 2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -6.7 (0.2 overall) 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.9 2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: +19.6 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #141 2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #3716 2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-6 2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%