GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Maroon/Gold
Coach: Dennis Bene
League: II Section I (moving from II Section V)
Playoff Division: II
Playoff Division Rank: #15
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 8
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2014 JV Record: 7-1-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Justin Holt 6'2" 300 Senior DT 5.0
Jamarye Joiner 6'1" 195 Sophomore QB 4.5
Jake Ksiazek 6'2" 230 Senior LB 4.6
ADDITIONAL SENIOR D1 PROSPECT
Dylan Eickmeyer 6'3" 270 Senior OG
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Taylor Powell 6'1" 215 Senior LB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience On Offense, Bigger/Faster
Team Weaknesses: Young In Secondary, Will Be Challenged Early In Season Against Quality QBs
RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 20.9
2014 National Rank: #3282
2014 State Rank: #46
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +6.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +0.4
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: 27.8
2015 National Rank: #2022
2015 State Rank: #37
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 33.4
Dynasty National Rank: #524
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 5.6
Dynasty Record: 114-29 (60-4 in league)
HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 8-3
2014 League Record/Finish: 3-2 (3rd)
2014 Points For Average: 28.3
2014 Points Against Average: 19.5
2014 Differential: +8.8
2014 Wins: #1119 Marcos de Niza (Tempe) (28-21), #3069 Sunnyside (Tucson) (24-3), #4430 Campo Verde (Gilbert) (34-27), #5110 Sabino (Tucson) (30-21), #6115 Tucson (33-14), #7868 Buena (Sierra Vista) (48-9), #8548 Vista Grande (Casa Grande) (20-0), #12411 Rincon (Tucson) (49-2)
2014 Losses: #1275 Ironwood Ridge (Tucson) (48-17), #1477 Sunnyslope (Phoenix) (42-7), #3431 Mountain View (Tucson) (28-21)
2014 Opponents W-L: 64-56
Recent State Championships: 2013
Recent League Championships: 2013 (II Section V), 2012 (II Section II), 2011 (II Section II), 2010 (5A Southern), 2009 (5A Southern), 2008 (5A Southern A), 2007 (5A Southern A), 2005 (5A Southern), 2004 (tied for 1st; 5A Southern), 2003 (5A Southern)
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: none
SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 8/21 Campo Verde (Gilbert), 8/28 at Sahuarita, 9/4 Boulder Creek (Anthem), 9/11 at Ironwood Ridge (Tucson), 9/25 Skyline (Mesa), 10/2 Sunnyside (Tucson), 10/9 at Buena (Sierra Vista), 10/16 at Sahuaro (Tucson), 10/23 Tucson, 10/30 Cienega (Vail)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Boulder Creek (Anthem) (35.9), Skyline (Mesa) (32.2), Sahuaro (Tucson) (31.7)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Buena (Sierra Vista) (-8), Tucson (7.4), Campo Verde (Gilbert) (11.3)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 11.8 (16.1 overall)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 21
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.2
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #40
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #1727
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4
2015 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%