Paul VI (Fairfax, VA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Panthers
Colors: Black/Gold
Coach: Joe Sebastian
League: VISAA Freelance
Playoff Division: VISAA 1
Playoff Division Rank: #12

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 2
Returning Defensive Starters: 2
2014 JV Record: 5-4
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Danny Carraciolo 5'11" 210 Senior MLB/FB 4.7
Spencer Hayes 6'0" 220 Senior ILB/FB 4.8
John Schmank 6'2.5" 215 Senior WR/DE 4.7

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: West-Coast Offense, Outstanding Defensive Core
Team Weaknesses: Only 8 Seniors, Very Young Team

RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 7.4
2014 National Rank: #6149
2014 State Rank: #175
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -10.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: -3.1
2015 National Rank: #8572
2015 State Rank: #236
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 9.6
Dynasty National Rank: #5064
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 12.7
Dynasty Record: 39-78 (15-40 in league)

HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 2-8
2014 League Record/Finish:  
2014 Points For Average: 18.5
2014 Points Against Average: 28.3
2014 Differential: -9.8
2014 Wins: #8888 St. Albans (Washington, DC) (49-14), #9883 Potomac School (McLean) (41-3)
2014 Losses: #644 Benedictine (Richmond) (42-14), #991 St. Mary's Ryken (Leonardtown, MD) (34-7), #1396 Bishop O'Connell [Denis J.] (Arlington) (56-14), #2081 St. Christopher's (Richmond) (17-0), #2641 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (20-13), #2946 Riverdale Baptist (Upper Marlboro, MD) (21-7), #3028 Landon (Bethesda, MD) (42-13), #6678 Flint Hill (Oakton) (34-27)
2014 Opponents W-L: 55-45-1
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 8/28 Pallotti [St. Vincent] (Laurel, MD), 9/4 Georgetown Prep (North Bethesda, MD), 9/11 Flint Hill (Oakton), 9/19 at Episcopal (Alexandria), 9/25 at St. John Paul the Great (Dumfries), 10/2 Fork Union Military Academy (Fork Union), 10/9 St. Albans (Washington, DC), 10/17 at St. Christopher's (Richmond), 10/23 at Riverdale Baptist (Upper Marlboro, MD), 10/31 at Bishop Ireton (Alexandria), 11/7 at Fredericksburg Christian (Fredericksburg)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Episcopal (Alexandria) (45.7), St. Christopher's (Richmond) (33.4), Georgetown Prep (North Bethesda, MD) (26.6)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: St. Albans (Washington, DC) (-4.3), Flint Hill (Oakton) (6.3), St. John Paul the Great (Dumfries) (10)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 20.6
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.5
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: -1.1
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #61
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2028
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 1-10
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%