Lutheran (Orange, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lancers
Colors: Red/White/Vegas Gold
Coach: Chuck Petersen
League: Trinity
Section: Southern
Playoff Division: Pac-5 (I)
Playoff Division Rank: #15

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2014 JV Record: 3-7
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
L.J. Northington 6'2" 180 Senior QB 4.6
Logan Bathke 6'5" 260 Senior OL 5.1
Jerry Fitschen 6'1" 175 Senior K/P 4.6

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Keisean Lucier-South 6'4" 205 Senior DE
Riley Brand 6'2" 210 Senior LB
J.D. Pickell 6'0" 185 Senior RB

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: OL/QB, K, Team Speed
Team Weaknesses: Depth

RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 48.8
2014 National Rank: #342
2014 State Rank: #33
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +1.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -4.2
Non-Senior D1 Talent Rating Bonus: +2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: 48.1
2015 National Rank: #336
2015 State Rank: #28
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 47.8
Dynasty National Rank: #63
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 0.3
Dynasty Record: 102-38 (35-24 in league)

HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 4-6
2014 League Record/Finish: 0-5 (6th)
2014 Points For Average: 35.5
2014 Points Against Average: 27.3
2014 Differential: +8.2
2014 Wins: #162 Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) (37-3), #2063 Dominguez (Compton) (33-7), #2569 Cabrillo (Long Beach) (52-8), #6969 Yorba Linda (42-6)
2014 Losses: #9 Centennial (Corona) (52-49), #19 St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (54-43), #32 Mater Dei (Santa Ana) (49-13), #71 JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (24-20), #243 Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita) (42-41), #268 Servite (Anaheim) (28-25)
2014 Opponents W-L: 78-43
Recent Section/State Championships: 2006, 2006 (Bowl II), 2004 (VI)
Recent League Championships: 2008 (tied for 1st), 2007 (tied for 1st), 2006 (tied for 1st), 2005 (tied for 1st; Empire), 2004 (Empire), 2003 (Empire)
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 8/28 at Dominguez (Compton), 9/4 at Crespi (Encino), 9/11 vs Centennial (Corona), 9/19 at De La Salle (Concord), 9/25 vs Vista Murrieta (Murrieta), 10/9 vs Mater Dei (Santa Ana), 10/16 vs Servite (Anaheim), 10/23 vs Santa Margarita (Rancho Santa Margarita), 10/29 vs St. John Bosco (Bellflower), 11/6 vs JSerra (San Juan Capistrano)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: De La Salle (Concord) (87.1), Centennial (Corona) (79.8), St. John Bosco (Bellflower) (67.4)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Dominguez (Compton) (25.7), Servite (Anaheim) (32), JSerra (San Juan Capistrano) (54.2)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 49.1
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 58.2
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: +9.1
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #2
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #7
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 3-7
2015 Projected League Finish: 5th
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%