Casa Grande (Petaluma, CA)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Gauchos
Colors: Forest Green/Gold
Coach: Trent Herzog
League: North Bay
Section: North Coast
Playoff Division: 2
Playoff Division Rank: #4

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 9
2014 JV Record: 4-6
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Spencer Torkelson 6'0" 205 Junior RB/LB 4.66
Nick Jensen 5'10" 205 Senior FB/MLB 4.88
Elijah Chirco 6'4" 240 Senior DE/TE 4.96

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Matt Abramo 6'2" 170 Senior K
Brendan Jackson 6'0" 285 Senior OL
Peter Parrick 6'2" 300 Senior OL

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Returning Defensive Starters, Skill Positions, Speed/Depth
Team Weaknesses: Overall Size, OL Inexperience, Loss Of Top K/P In Section

RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 17.6
2014 National Rank: #3933
2014 State Rank: #282
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +4.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.6
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: 18.5
2015 National Rank: #3623
2015 State Rank: #271
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 26.1
Dynasty National Rank: #1294
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 7.6
Dynasty Record: 111-36-2 (64-11 in league)

HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 6-7
2014 League Record/Finish: 4-3 (tied for 3rd)
2014 Points For Average: 19.2
2014 Points Against Average: 26.3
2014 Differential: -7.1
2014 Wins: #4623 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (19-14), #4623 Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa) (17-14), #5190 Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (35-12), #7769 Miramonte (Orinda) (48-6), #9621 Santa Rosa (39-0), #10957 Ukiah (47-0)
2014 Losses: #246 Clayton Valley (Concord) (55-3), #927 Napa (31-0), #1082 Franklin (Elk Grove) (43-3), #1531 Analy (Sebastopol) (47-14), #1697 Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (48-7), #2186 Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park) (45-10), #3934 Windsor (27-7)
2014 Opponents W-L: 92-65
Recent League Championships: 2013, 2010 (Sonoma County), 2008 (Sonoma County), 2007 (tied for 1st; Sonoma County), 2006 (Sonoma County), 2005 (tied for 1st; Sonoma County), 2004 (Sonoma County), 2003 (Sonoma County)
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 8/28 vs Analy (Sebastopol), 9/4 vs Napa, 9/11 vs Franklin (Elk Grove), 9/25 vs Rancho Cotate (Rohnert Park), 10/2 vs Windsor, 10/10 vs Ukiah, 10/16 at Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa), 10/23 at Carrillo [Maria] (Santa Rosa), 10/30 at Santa Rosa, 11/6 Montgomery (Santa Rosa)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Franklin (Elk Grove) (44.3), Napa (36.1), Cardinal Newman (Santa Rosa) (32.7)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Ukiah (-14.5), Santa Rosa (-2.6), Montgomery (Santa Rosa) (4.2)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 12.2 (20.4 overall)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 19.2
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: +7
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #173
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #2091
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 4-6
2015 Projected League Finish: 4th
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%