GENERAL
Nickname: Cobras
Colors: Columbia/Silver
Coach: Larry Fetkenhier
League: III Section IX (moving from III Section I)
Playoff Division: III
Playoff Division Rank: #7
RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 6
Returning Defensive Starters: 5
2014 JV Record: 3-5
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes
TOP PLAYERS
Preston Guerra 6'3" 210 QB 4.73
Matt Ledesma 5'11" 230 MLB 4.81
Bryan Ramierez 6'2" 180 FS 4.6
COLLEGE PROSPECT LOST TO GRADUATION
Jaylon James 5'11" 175 Senior RB
STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience At QB/WR/RB, Have One Of Top QBs In State, Defensive Core
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On Lines
RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 21.3
2014 National Rank: #3200
2014 State Rank: #45
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +3.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -1.9
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: 22.9
2015 National Rank: #2804
2015 State Rank: #48
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 32
Dynasty National Rank: #639
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 9.1
Dynasty Record: 119-31 (52-10 in league)
HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 9-3
2014 League Record/Finish: 4-2 (3rd)
2014 Points For Average: 41.9
2014 Points Against Average: 24.2
2014 Differential: +17.7
2014 Wins: #3453 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (52-38), #4549 Mesquite (Gilbert) (41-35), #6260 Mingus (Cottonwood) (41-14), #6742 Thunderbird (Phoenix) (32-14), #6931 Shadow Ridge (Surprise) (55-0), #7409 Goldwater [Barry] (Phoenix) (31-14), #8151 Dysart (El Mirage) (58-19), #9095 Greenway (Phoenix) (42-29), #10403 Independence (Glendale) (69-13)
2014 Losses: #1995 Tempe (41-21), #3453 Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (49-40), #4202 Peoria (24-21)
2014 Opponents W-L: 69-57
Recent State Championships: 2009 (4A-II), 2005 (4A-I)
Recent League Championships: 2011 (III Section II), 2010 (4A Black Canyon), 2009 (4A Black Canyon), 2007 (4A West Valley), 2006 (tied for 1st; 4A Wells Fargo 1), 2005 (4A Wells Fargo 1)
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: 2
Streak List: 9/4/15 Moon Valley (Phoenix) (35-14), 9/11/15 Greenway (Phoenix) (42-13)
SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 8/21 Coconino (Flagstaff), 8/28 at Sunnyside (Tucson), 9/4 Moon Valley (Phoenix), 9/11 Greenway (Phoenix), 9/25 at La Joya Community (Avondale), 10/2 at Ironwood (Glendale), 10/9 Peoria, 10/16 at Kellis [Raymond S.] (Glendale), 10/23 Copper Canyon (Glendale), 10/30 at Sunrise Mountain (Peoria)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Sunrise Mountain (Peoria) (27.1), Sunnyside (Tucson) (24.5), Ironwood (Glendale) (17.5)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Copper Canyon (Glendale) (-19.6), Kellis [Raymond S.] (Glendale) (-12.4), Coconino (Flagstaff) (-11.8)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 5.8 (11.1 overall)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 6.7
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.9
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #69
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5676
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 8-2
2015 Projected League Finish: 2nd
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 3%