Avon Old Farms (Avon, CT)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Beavers
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Bill Mella
League: Housatonic
State (Plays In): Prep Schools
Playoff Division: NEPSAC A
Playoff Division Rank: #8

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2014 JV Record: 9-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: no
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: no

TOP PLAYERS
Andrew Horn 6'4" 210 Senior OLB/TE
Tucker Spears 6'5" 230 Senior TE/OLB 4.71
Nick Orekoya 5'11" 220 Senior RB/DB 4.5

COLLEGE PROSPECTS LOST TO GRADUATION
Chris Clark 6'6" 245 Senior TE 4.7
Anthony Giudice 6'3" 255 Senior DE
Matthew Millea 6'2" 190 Senior WR

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: OL
Team Weaknesses: Youth At Some Key Positions

RATINGS
2014 Final Power Rating: 24.2
2014 National Rank: #2729
2014 State Rank: #25 (in CT)
General Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -3.5
D1 Talent (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -5.2
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.1
2015 Starting Power Rating: 14.4
2015 National Rank: #4474
2015 State Rank: #39 (in CT)
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2014 Rating): 11.4
Dynasty National Rank: #4498
2015 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 4.1
Dynasty Record: 57-44-1 (41-29-1 in league)

HISTORICAL
2014 Overall Record: 6-3
2014 League Record/Finish: 5-1 (tied for 1st)
2014 Points For Average: 36.8
2014 Points Against Average: 31.8
2014 Differential: +5
2014 Wins: #1100 Brunswick (Greenwich) (49-34), #2881 Kent School (Kent) (22-20), #5627 Salisbury School (Salisbury) (45-41), #5862 Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH) (47-20), #5906 Taft (Watertown) (37-12), #10346 Hotchkiss (Lakeville) (42-20)
2014 Losses: #361 Choate Rosemary Hall (Wallingford) (49-20), #2417 Cheshire Academy (Cheshire) (55-35), #4913 Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY) (35-34)
2014 Opponents W-L: 41-33
Recent League Championships: 2014 (tied for 1st), 2013 (tied for 1st)
Winning Streak Entering 2015 Season: none

SCHEDULE
2015 Schedule: 9/26 vs Brunswick (Greenwich), 10/3 at Cheshire Academy (Cheshire), 10/10 Kent School (Kent), 10/17 at Hotchkiss (Lakeville), 10/24 Taft (Watertown), 10/31 Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY), 11/7 Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH), 11/14 at Salisbury School (Salisbury)
Highest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Brunswick (Greenwich) (44.8), Kent School (Kent) (19.6), Cheshire Academy (Cheshire) (19.2)
Lowest-Rated 2015 Regular Season Opponents: Hotchkiss (Lakeville) (-10.8), Phillips Exeter Academy (Exeter, NH) (-5.1), Trinity-Pawling (Pawling, NY) (-0.6)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 10.7 (21.7 overall)
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 8.6
2015 vs. 2014 Schedule Strength Comparison: -2.1
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #33
2015 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #5018
2015 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-3
2015 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2015 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%