St. John Paul the Great (Dumfries, VA)       previews home GENERAL Nickname: Wolves Colors: Green/Black/White Coach: Jerry Sarchet League: VISAA Freelance Playoff Division: VISAA 1 Playoff Division Rank: #14 RETURNERS Returning Offensive Starters: 8 Returning Defensive Starters: 2 2013 JV Record: 4-6 Starting Quarterback Returning: yes Top Running Back Returning: no Top Receiver Returning: yes Top OL Returning: yes Top Defender Returning: no TOP PLAYERS DJ Stefonsky 5'9" 175 Senior CB/WR 4.50 Michael Horan 5'10" 155 Junior ATH 4.53 Michael Nguyen 5'10" 180 Senior LB 4.70 STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES Team Strengths: Experience On Offense, OL Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On Defense RATINGS 2013 Final Power Rating: 1.5 2013 National Rank: #7536 2013 State Rank: #207 Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5 Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1 2014 Starting Power Rating: 0 2014 National Rank: #7643 2014 State Rank: #221 Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): -8.5 Dynasty National Rank: #10853 2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: better by 9.5 Dynasty Record: 27-23 HISTORICAL 2013 Overall Record: 7-3 2013 League Record/Finish:   2013 Points For Average: 35.9 2013 Points Against Average: 17.1 2013 Differential: +18.8 2013 Wins: #8946 Trinity Episcopal (Richmond) (55-34), #9633 Fredericksburg Christian (Fredericksburg) (40-7), #11928 Brentsville District (Nokesville) (38-14), #12373 Randolph-Macon Academy (Front Royal) (34-7), #12910 Nativity BVM (Pottsville, PA) (55-0), #13556 Lutheran (Baltimore, MD) (37-7), #14590 Rappahannock County (Washington) (50-0) 2013 Losses: #4934 Potomac School (McLean) (34-13), #5621 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy (Suffolk) (40-16), #5841 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (28-21) 2013 Opponents W-L: 36-60 Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: none SCHEDULE 2014 Schedule: 8/29 at Nansemond-Suffolk Academy (Suffolk), 9/6 Potomac School (McLean), 9/12 at Randolph-Macon Academy (Front Royal), 9/20 Lutheran (Baltimore, MD), 9/26 at Brentsville District (Nokesville), 10/4 at Fredericksburg Christian (Fredericksburg), 10/11 Sidwell Friends (Washington, DC), 10/18 at Northern Valley Regional (Demarest, NJ), 10/24 at Rappahannock County (Washington), 11/1 Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Bishop Ireton (Alexandria) (16.2), Potomac School (McLean) (12.2), Nansemond-Suffolk Academy (Suffolk) (9) Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Rappahannock County (Washington) (-57.5), Lutheran (Baltimore, MD) (-32.7), Randolph-Macon Academy (Front Royal) (-22.2) 2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -13.8 2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8.9 2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +4.9 2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #292 2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10536 2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 6-4 2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%