North Tonawanda (NY)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Lumberjacks
Colors: Red/Blue
Coach: Tony Truilizio
League: Section 6 A - North
Playoff Division: A
Playoff Division Rank: #25

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 3
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2013 JV Record: 4-2-1
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: no
Top Receiver Returning: no
Top OL Returning: yes
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Chris Woodard 6'4" 195 Senior QB/S 4.70
Alex Molik 6'3" 295 Senior T/DT 5.05
Taylor Mellot 5'11" 210 Senior MLB/G 4.90

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: QB, Returning Starters On Defense
Team Weaknesses: Inexperience On Offense

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: 10
2013 National Rank: #5521
2013 State Rank: #135
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: -0.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -1.3
2014 Starting Power Rating: 8.2
2014 National Rank: #5649
2014 State Rank: #137
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 18.8
Dynasty National Rank: #2534
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 9.3
Dynasty Record: 79-25 (44-15 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 6-3
2013 League Record/Finish: 2-3 (4th)
2013 Points For Average: 29.7
2013 Points Against Average: 22.8
2013 Differential: +6.9
2013 Wins: #6808 Hamburg (36-29), #8227 Starpoint (Lockport) (35-12), #8744 Williamsville East (East Amherst) (30-7), #9646 Lake Shore (Angola) (46-28), #10380 Tonawanda (45-21), #10888 Niagara-Wheatfield (Sanborn) (34-12)
2013 Losses: #1910 Sweet Home (Amherst) (49-13), #2948 Grand Island (20-14), #6304 Kenmore East (Tonawanda) (27-14)
2013 Opponents W-L: 41-40
Recent State Championships: 2009 (AA)
Recent League Championships: 2009 (Section 6 AA - North), 2008 (Section 6 AA - North), 2007 (Section 6 AA - North), 2005 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA North), 2004 (Section 6 AA North), 2003 (tied for 1st; Section 6 AA)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 5
Streak List: 10/4/13 Starpoint (Lockport) (35-12), 10/12/13 Niagara-Wheatfield (Sanborn) (34-12), 10/18/13 Tonawanda (45-21), 10/24/13 Williamsville East (East Amherst) (30-7), 10/30/13 Hamburg (36-29)

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 9/6 Riverside/International Prep at Grove/LaFayette/Da Vinci (Buffalo), 9/12 Williamsville East (East Amherst), 9/19 Sweet Home (Amherst), 9/26 at Williamsville South (Williamsville), 10/3 Kenmore East (Tonawanda), 10/10 at Grand Island, 10/17 at Tonawanda
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Sweet Home (Amherst) (29.2), Grand Island (22.5), Williamsville South (Williamsville) (2.1)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Riverside/International Prep at Grove/LaFayette/Da Vinci (Buffalo) (-29.5), Tonawanda (-10.6), Williamsville East (East Amherst) (-2.9)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -1.5 (3 overall)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: 1.7
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +3.2
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 5-2
2014 Projected League Finish: 3rd
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: less than 1%