Mount Airy (NC)       previews home


GENERAL
Nickname: Bears
Colors: Blue/White
Coach: Kelly Holder
League: 1A Northwest (moving from 1A Conference 5)
Playoff Division: 1A
Playoff Division Rank: #9

RETURNERS
Returning Offensive Starters: 7
Returning Defensive Starters: 6
2013 JV Record: 7-2
Starting Quarterback Returning: yes
Top Running Back Returning: yes
Top Receiver Returning: yes
Top OL Returning: no
Top Defender Returning: yes

TOP PLAYERS
Andrew Jones Senior FB/LB 4.90
Caleb Horton Senior WR/DB 4.69
Shay Wilson Senior RB/OLB 4.70

STRENGTHS/WEAKNESSES
Team Strengths: Experience
Team Weaknesses: Youth On Lines

RATINGS
2013 Final Power Rating: 2.6
2013 National Rank: #7297
2013 State Rank: #224
Personnel (Back/Lost) Rating Adjustment: +5.5
Reg Season Schedule Strength Downward Rating Adjustment: -2.5
2014 Starting Power Rating: 5.5
2014 National Rank: #6314
2014 State Rank: #190
Dynasty Rating (Average 2003-2013 Rating): 12.6
Dynasty National Rank: #4115
2014 Rating vs. Dynasty Rating Comparison: worse by 4.5
Dynasty Record: 123-29 (70-11 in league)

HISTORICAL
2013 Overall Record: 9-4
2013 League Record/Finish: 5-0 (1st)
2013 Points For Average: 30.7
2013 Points Against Average: 16.4
2013 Differential: +14.3
2013 Wins: #6251 East Surry (Pilot Mountain) (34-13), #8927 Carroll County (Hillsville, VA) (34-15), #9062 North Surry (Mt. Airy) (30-27), #9985 Bishop McGuinness (Kernersville) (42-7), #10772 Surry Central (Dobson) (43-7), #11119 East Montgomery (Biscoe) (28-7), #11277 Walkertown (48-40), #13618 Atkins [Simon G.] (Winston-Salem) (64-0), #13954 North Stokes (Danbury) (32-0)
2013 Losses: #4851 West Stokes (King) (40-14), #6251 East Surry (Pilot Mountain) (20-10), #6887 Thomasville (14-7), #8004 Starmount (Boonville) (23-13)
2013 Opponents W-L: 81-77
Recent State Championships: 2008
Recent League Championships: 2013 (1A Conference 5), 2012 (2A/1A Northwest), 2010 (2A/1A Northwest), 2009 (2A/1A Northwest), 2008 (Northwest), 2007 (Northwest), 2005 (tied for 1st; Northwest)
Winning Streak Entering 2014 Season: 3
Streak List: 8/22/14 Starmount (Boonville) (28-17), 8/29/14 Thomasville (22-8), 9/5/14 Carroll County (Hillsville, VA) (55-7)

SCHEDULE
2014 Schedule: 8/22 at Starmount (Boonville), 8/29 Thomasville, 9/5 Carroll County (Hillsville, VA), 9/12 at North Surry (Mt. Airy), 9/19 Surry Central (Dobson), 9/26 at West Stokes (King), 10/10 at Bishop McGuinness (Kernersville), 10/17 at Atkins [Simon G.] (Winston-Salem), 10/24 Walkertown, 10/31 at North Stokes (Danbury), 11/7 East Surry (Pilot Mountain)
Highest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: West Stokes (King) (16.6), Thomasville (5.2), East Surry (Pilot Mountain) (-0.5)
Lowest-Rated 2014 Regular Season Opponents: Atkins [Simon G.] (Winston-Salem) (-40.2), North Stokes (Danbury) (-40.1), Walkertown (-8.9)
2013 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8.8 (-7 overall)
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength: -8.3
2014 vs. 2013 Schedule Strength Comparison: +0.5
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength State Rank: #331
2014 Regular Season Schedule Strength National Rank: #10368
2014 Projected Regular Season Record: 9-2
2014 Projected League Finish: 1st
2014 Undefeated Regular Season Probability: 4%